The market has broken out. The bubble blowoff I had been concerned about appears to be under way. The 6 month and 10-12 month cycles still point to targets that are a little higher in the short run, but other indications suggest that the SPX could run significantly higher by July, with higher highs likely by the end of the year as long as the Fed keeps cashing out the Primary Dealers at the current rate. The period from April 11 to April 25 will be the most bullish of the year in terms of liquidity (See Fed and Treasury reports). It diminishes only a little after that. This report covers the particulars of what to expect in terms of price levels and timing and what to look out for.
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