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Market Liquidity Shortage Will End On March 1 – Professional Edition

The composite liquidity indicator barely budged last week, as the Fed’s mid month settlement of its monthly forward MBS purchases was largely offset by the fact that most of the cash sat in reserves at the Fed while other measures marked time or pulled back slightly. Two large cash management bills (CMBs) issued by the Treasury over the past two weeks offset the effects of the February mid month surge of Fed liquidity causing a temporary shortage of cash for the markets. The repayment of $63 billion in ECB LTRO loans exacerbated the situation. Barring a reduction in QE, this was one of the few weeks that we will see this year where there’s not enough Fed QE money to absorb new Treasury supply and other negative impacts.


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Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also publish LiquidityTrader.com, and was lead analyst for Sure Money Investor, of blessed memory. I developed David Stockman's Contra Corner for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs since 1972, including a stint on Wall Street in both sales, analytical, and trading capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I was a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I was considered an expert in the analysis of failed properties that ended up in the hands of bank REO divisions, the FDIC, and the RTC. Remember those guys? I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. I'm not some Ivory Tower academic, Wall Street guy. My perspective comes from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches, as a real estate broker, mortgage broker, trader, account rep, and analyst. I've watched most of the games these Wall Street wiseguys play from right up close. I know the drill from my 55 years of paying attention. And I'm happy to share that experience with you, right here. 

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