This report presents and discusses a dozen key bullet points for the Treasury market, and indirectly, stocks. Here are the first 5.
- Suddenly Treasury supply higher than TBAC forecast supply and there are signs that will continue.
- Indirect bids falling sharply on 4 week bills and long term paper.
- Foreign and international account purchases at Treasury auctions downtrending since 2009.
- Fed’s share of Treasury auction purchases rising since mid 2011. Question of more to come to be answered Wednesday.
- Treasury cash balance suddenly shifts from running greater than the same date last year to significantly less.
- And 7 more
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We may be skating on very thin ice here, but the weight of the evidence still supports a weak bull case for the near to intermediate term. So I’m adding buy picks on the chart pick list and adjusting trailing stops to account for the risk.
These reports are not investment advice. They are for informational purposes, for a broad audience of investment and trading professionals, and other experienced investors and traders. Chart pick performance changes week to week and past performance may not indicate future results, as you know. Trading involves risk, and these reports assume that you understand those risks and manage them according to your tolerance.