The Treasury had a light calendar last week. The market faced a big Treasury settlement on Tuesday but from then until the big end of month settlement of new paper, supply pressure wasn’t, and won’t be, a problem. With fear driving waves of capital into the Treasuries, a downside breakout in yields, and an upside breakout in the dollar look eminently doable, if not likely. So what is the problem? As Treasuries seemingly suck up all available capital in a worldwide buying panic, the flip side of that coin is a worldwide selling panic in everything else, including equities.
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