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Fed Sits Tight As The World Awaits The Appearance of El Toro Grande

Wednesday is the big day as the ECB reintroduces El Toro (LTRO) Grande otherwise known as the big Long Term Refinancing Operation. Everybody, and I mean everybody, expects a flood of liquidity into the markets, with consensus estimates of $500 billion in fresh cash being pumped into the European banking system. Given that 7 of the largest banks in Europe happen to be one third of US Primary Dealers (surprise, surprise), no doubt the consensus expectations about the appearance of El Toro are correct. And even if they are not correct, any number with 11 zeros on the end will have an impact, regardless of the first digit. But what if the expected amount comes up short? This report looks at that and the key indicators of liquidity in the US market and gives an answer that may surprise you.

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1 Comment

  1. Jetlag

    “And even if they are not correct, any number with 11 zeros on the end will have an impact, regardless of the first digit. But what if the expected amount comes up short?”

    Obviously it will be spinned as “the banks are healthier than the market thought” – big finangler rally ensues.

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