The Treasury market panic continued this week, with yields heading for new lows, thanks partly to a return of central banks to the table at a modest level, but mostly due to a ratcheting up of public buying. Bond fund inflows hit a record last week. It’s sheer panic. Bedlam.
The panic atmosphere has been helped along by reduced supply. Once last Tuesday’s big settlement (but less than originally forecast) was out of the way, the market just idled as the paper was digested. Supply settling next week will be extremely low, in fact, there should be a minor paydown. Then the mid month settlement will be well below the norm for note and bond settlements. Considering that the Fed usually settles a big wad of its forward MBS purchases at mid month, the skids will be greased and supply will be reduced. There will be more than enough cash to go around.
That will be a recipe for more buying of those “fortress balance sheet equities” (cough, cough), so the slow motion meltup will be spurred on, probably for most of February.
Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers) including 21 pages of charts and clear, cutting edge analysis that you can use to gain an edge in the market. Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. 30 day risk free trial for new subscribers. Click here for more information.
Stay up to date with the machinations of the Fed, Treasury, Primary Dealers and foreign central banks in the US market, along with regular updates of the US housing market, in the Fed Report in the Professional Edition, Money Liquidity, and Real Estate Package. Try it risk free for 30 days. Don’t miss another day. Get the research and analysis you need to understand these critical forces. Be prepared. Stay ahead of the herd. Click this link and begin your risk free trial NOW!