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Treasury Auction Calendar Update

The 13 week and 26 week bill auctions were strong with the expected increase in the indirect bid as a result of this week’s paydown from the non-renewal of the weekly $25 billion in Supplementary Financing Program Cash Management Bills. However, the overall bid/cover was lower than last week. Apparently Primary Dealers were less aggressive about rolling their expiring CMBs and are willing to sit in cash until something better comes along.

The 4 week bill was announced at $35 billion instead of the expected $25 billion. That’s $10 billion more than the rollover. That reduces the net paydown at Thursday’s settlement from the previous estimate of $22 billion to just $12 billion, which is still a lot of cash to add to this week’s POMO. Therefore the overall impact on the market should not be materially affected by the reduction in the paydown.

Subscribers should review last week’s Treasury update for complete background data and analysis. The next Professional Edition Treasury update will be posted Thursday afternoon.

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Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also publish LiquidityTrader.com, and was lead analyst for Sure Money Investor, of blessed memory. I developed David Stockman's Contra Corner for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs since 1972, including a stint on Wall Street in both sales, analytical, and trading capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I was a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I was considered an expert in the analysis of failed properties that ended up in the hands of bank REO divisions, the FDIC, and the RTC. Remember those guys? I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. I'm not some Ivory Tower academic, Wall Street guy. My perspective comes from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches, as a real estate broker, mortgage broker, trader, account rep, and analyst. I've watched most of the games these Wall Street wiseguys play from right up close. I know the drill from my 55 years of paying attention. And I'm happy to share that experience with you, right here. 

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