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Danger Signals Must Not Be Taken Lightly- Professional Edition

Ominous warning signs are cropping up in several financial indicators that suggest that the system may be hemorrhaging cash almost as fast as the Fed is pumping it. That’s why the Treasuries have been so weak, while at the same time the stock market has gotten so little mileage out of the Fed’s largesse. The stock market gains may seem like a lot, but without these forces working against them they would have been much greater.

There’s plenty of reason to be concerned about a market downturn from the signals enumerated in this report. But the Fed will continue to pump, and the Treasury will be paying down another $175 billion in Supplementary Financing Program (SFP) Cash Management Bills (CMBs) over the next 7 weeks. That could be enough to keep a happy face on things for a while longer. The trend is intact for now, but the danger signals should not be taken lightly.

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