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Second Phase Housing Crash Hidden From Public – Professional Edition

A hidden catastrophe is unfolding in the US housing market. Mainstream media outlets are not telling the story because they are focused on misleading data like the just released Case Shiller Index which showed only a small decline in September. In reality, real time market data indicates that the housing market is undergoing a renewed crash, bringing activity and sales prices to their lowest levels yet. Inventory to sales ratios are exploding, with the supply demand imbalance likely to lead to even steeper price declines in the months ahead. That will in turn lead to yet another wave of mortgage defaults and foreclosures, which will dramatically increase the stress on the financial system. This will lead to another systemic shock similar to that which occurred in 2008. The Fed will be under pressure to extend QE2 indefinitely, with undoubtedly horrific unintended consequences.

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Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also publish LiquidityTrader.com, and was lead analyst for Sure Money Investor, of blessed memory. I developed David Stockman's Contra Corner for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs since 1972, including a stint on Wall Street in both sales, analytical, and trading capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I was a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I was considered an expert in the analysis of failed properties that ended up in the hands of bank REO divisions, the FDIC, and the RTC. Remember those guys? I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. I'm not some Ivory Tower academic, Wall Street guy. My perspective comes from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches, as a real estate broker, mortgage broker, trader, account rep, and analyst. I've watched most of the games these Wall Street wiseguys play from right up close. I know the drill from my 55 years of paying attention. And I'm happy to share that experience with you, right here. 

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