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More Crazy Ideas and Chinks in the Armor – Professional Edition

The Fed floated a trial balloon today on the idea of selling its own debt. Those of you who have been following these pages know that this is a horrible idea which would only further serve to crowd private borrowers out of the market. I’m not sure what effect the Fed intended by floating this idea, but I assume the idea will be a non-starter when all is said and done.

The Treasury sold 3 year notes and 278 day CMBs today and while rates were extremely low, bid/cover ratios fell from the last auctions of similar paper, and the indirect bid on the CMB was particularly weak. It’s too early to say if this means anything, but if it happens again next week, I’d begin to worry. The government can ill afford rates beginning to tick higher.

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Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also publish LiquidityTrader.com, and was lead analyst for Sure Money Investor, of blessed memory. I developed David Stockman's Contra Corner for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs since 1972, including a stint on Wall Street in both sales, analytical, and trading capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I was a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I was considered an expert in the analysis of failed properties that ended up in the hands of bank REO divisions, the FDIC, and the RTC. Remember those guys? I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. I'm not some Ivory Tower academic, Wall Street guy. My perspective comes from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches, as a real estate broker, mortgage broker, trader, account rep, and analyst. I've watched most of the games these Wall Street wiseguys play from right up close. I know the drill from my 55 years of paying attention. And I'm happy to share that experience with you, right here. 

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