The Fed did a minor injection of liquidity on Thursday, adding a net of $0.75 billion. They continued to allow Fed Funds and repos to trade below the Fed Funds target, suggesting a de facto rate cut. Meanwhile, the Treasury shocked the market with an unprecedented 63 day CMB for $19 billion dollars. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
Lee , why was the 63 day CMB for 19 billion so shocking / Duration ? Amount ? Combination of both. Thanks !
Lee…SOMA dropped another 5 Billion…Repo levels are as low as they have been in months…FCB’s continue to offer good support…and I’m sure the FlHB & other GSE agencies are “lending” full support(making sure the clearing house stays open///making the DOJ initiatives regarding the CME both amusing & interesting….Mussolini would certainly applaud….obviously, the TAFFY Pulls are making “the difference” vis a vis what appears to be a retracting demand for overall credit//bond issuance…naturally as asset prices fall…less is needed to carry them… Lee, is there any place to go and get an accurate account of how much Taffy money is currently working??… something similiar to the GMTFO breakdown…any comment on the composition of the ECB’s account… startin’ to look like Japan’s…. any toilet paper will do…used or otherwise…???
Thanks to both of you for your comments and questions. I have discussed them in depth in both yesterday’s and today’s reports. Those reports should clarify things for you. 🙂
By the way, I also have made extensive comments on the subject in a new Radio Free Wall Street podcast which will be posted later tonight.
According to Vanguard this evening, the 10 Year Treasury – FNMA spread is 59 points, vs 38 as stated in today’s Fed and Treasury Update. But now that I read the Update more closely, I see it says the 38 was for 2/6?
Indeed the spread was as stated at the time of the report. The numbers do change minute to minute so by the time you read the report they were different. Readers can check the spreads throughout the day at
https://personal.vanguard.com/us/FundsBondsMarketSummaryTable
The date was an error and I do regret any confusion that may have caused readers. Sometimes I do not proofread reports as carefully as I should, and the errors slip through (sometimes even when I do proofread carefully 😀 ). I would ask subscribers to notify me immediately any time you spot an error in any of the reports.
And, as I predicted, the spread rewidened. This morning the spread is 64. As I wrote yesterday:
“…the spread shrank to 38 on Fannie paper and 53 for Freddie, as Treasury yields soared. Such narrowing is often the case when the Treasury market moves quickly. We should see a substantial re-widening tomorrow.”
So while I got the date wrong, 😮 everything else was correct at the time of the writing. 🙂