All of the talk lately on our message boards and blogs (See Lee Wheeler on the Mark) about Martin Armstrong’s 8.6 year cycle top being due Monday February 26 got me to thinking about super long term cycles. They are not something I normally give much thought to, because even if they do exist, and I suspect that they do, then Hurst’s Principal of Variation tells us that the time counts between tops or bottoms would be subject to variations of several years, not exactly pinpoint timing, and not of much use for those of us trading within normal time frames.
Nevertheless, I wondered if there was anything to the idea that a super long term cycle high might be due in the current time frame, defining super long term as any cycles longer than the 4 year cycle. Lo and behold, in analyzing the Dow back to the 1900s, I found something. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).
Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.
Join the conversation and have a little fun at Capitalstool.com. If you are a new visitor to the Stool, please register and join in! To post your observations and charts, and snide, but good-natured, comments, click here to register. Be sure to respond to the confirmation email which is sent instantly. If not in your inbox, check your spam filter.