The US stock market is now more extended versus the primary sources of macroliquidity than it has been at any time since 2002. Market risk is at an extreme that suggests at least a significant correction ahead, but probably not until January. The Macro Liquidity Index has remained flat as the actions of the Fed, foreign central banks (FCBs), the Treasury, and GSEs have taken turns offsetting one another. Liquidity could be more favorable in December, especially in the latter half of the month, but should take a turn for the worse in January. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).
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