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Posts Tagged ‘ Treasury Yields ’
The Mighty Ben
Treasury yields reached the top of the recent range and appeared headed for a breakout when along came Ben, with his mighty arms outstretched he lifts up the playing field and tilts it, and back down yields went, in spite of the big week of Treasury auctions and the market facing a big wad...
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Hints of Sea Change In Treasury Market
Treasury yields fell to a key resistance level, and then rebounded sharply to break a 6 month downtrend line this week. It’s too early to call a turn, but the fact that it happened during a week when Treasury supply was non-existent—actually there was a paydown—and when foreign central banks showed up and actually...
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European Panic Sweeps 700 Pound Gorilla Under The Rug
The Treasury rally got some help this week from a surge in Federal Withholding Tax collections that is helping to keep new supply down. Whereas new supply had been exceeding TBAC estimates for the past couple of months, it has come back in line with estimates, and could be reduced even further in the...
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A 10-year low of new municipal bond issuance
Volume Lowest in 10 Years
Munis Ended 2011 At $295 Billion
Tuesday, January 3, 2012
By Taylor Riggs
A 10-year low of new municipal bond issuance is what was on everyone’s mind in 2011.
Last year, only $295 billion of bonds were issued, down almost...
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Minyanville Interview With Lee Adler: What to Expect From Treasuries, Central Banks, Politics in 2012
What’s the big story for 2012?
I think that finally this’ll be the year that Treasury yields begin to rise. A lot of people, a lot of smart people have been bears on Treasuries and have been wrong about it. The technical work that I do has said ...
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Foreign Central Banks Have Left the Building
Tracking foreign central bank (FCB) holdings of US Treasury and Agency (Fannie, Freddie, and minor government agencies) paper has been one of the most important lines of inquiry in my analysis of market liquidity for the past 9 years. This information is available virtually in real time each week in the Fed’s weekly H41...
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Threads In A Foreboding Tapestry
Two weeks ago I began to report to subscribers of the Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Fed Report that foreign central banks (FCBs) had begun to engage in unprecedented levels of disgorgement of their massive holdings of US Treasury and Agency paper. Prior to this year, the FCBs had typically absorbed the equivalent of...
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Happy Columbus Day Treasury Market
Foreign central bank dumping of Treasuries and Agencies continued this week, although not at the frenetic pace of the past two weeks. This activity may be beginning to take a toll on the Treasury market, where yields are showing signs of possibly having bottomed. Treasury supply was light with no net new supply settling...
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Quiet Desperation
Most savers and investors are experiencing that quiet desperation of which Thoreau wrote. The inflation of the money supply provided by the central banks almost everywhere across the globe has found its way into into financial assets, including bon...
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Kind Of Bearish
The following is the summary lead-in to this week’s Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Treasury Update. The subscriber link to the full report is below. A massive wave of panic buying has sent Treasury yields plunging to record lows. Data shows foreign central banks were net sellers in recent weeks, continuing a trend of...
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I love the smell of a collapse in Treasury yields.
Heh, to paraphrase and hopelessly twist Robeert Duvall's famous line in the movie "Apocalypse Now", the chart below smells like "victory" for the "The Great Disintegration" I was sure was taking place three years ago--then was just as sure was stopped ...
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What Malodorous Plans May Come From Jackson’s Hole
Capital flight out of Europe into the US banking system continues to result in a surge in money supply and a variety of other banking measures. It is causing a cycle where banks are literally forced to buy Treasuries, Treasury yields plunge, mortgage rates fall, and a massive wave of mortgage refinancings causes bank...
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A New Way for Income Investors to Get Ahead
The market isn't an easy place for income investors right now.
Stocks are too volatile, U.S. Treasury yields are anemic, and a strong reliable dividend is a rarity.
But income investors have a relatively new way they can use options to collect solid payouts on a routine basis....
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Liquidation of Stocks Required To Keep Treasury Yields Low
The markets faced massive Treasury supply this week and shook, rattled, and rolled as a result. Surprise, surprise, surprise—not— the Treasury market got the benefit of the instability, as investors were scared out of stocks and all things European, and into Treasuries. However, in case you didn’t notice, after last week’s big Treasury rally...
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Wrong Way Treasuries Put Dealers Between Rocks
Next week’s Treasury calendar is light, with another paydown on Thursday and plenty of POMO, so if ever stocks had an excuse to rally, this would be it. The Federal Government would probably be happy to see stocks rally at the expense of a selloff in Treasuries since the government is not selling notes...
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POMO Can Pay For Treasuries or Stocks But Not Both
And soon it will end. Then what? The Treasury calendar was heavy this week, with 3 and 10 year notes and 30 year bonds auctioned in addition to the weekly bill auctions. It got even heavier when the Treasury announced a surprise $15 billion cash management bill to tide the government over until June...
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A Look at Treasury Yields Before the Market Opens
June 3, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through Friday's close. The 10-year note yield, now at 2.99%, remains below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages at levels last seen in early December. As the first chart ill...
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Two Options Strategies That Can Turn Short-Term Price Gyrations Into Big-Time Profits
Everyone acknowledges that at its most basic level the stock market is driven by fear and greed. And, in the past, the immediate impact of fear has been far more dramatic than the short-term effect of greed.
In other words, stock prices have historically tended to fall faster -...
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Treasury Yields in Perspective
May 27, 2011 periodic update
Let's have a look at a long-term perspective on Treasury yields. The chart below shows the 10-Year Constant Maturity yield since 1962 along with the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) and inflation. The range has been astonish...
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Treasury Yield Update: Yields Continue to Slip as Treasuries Rally
May 23, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through Monday's close. The flight to quality, continued today, although less energetically than the decline in equities might have indicated.
The 10-year yield is now at 3.13...
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Treasury Yields Update
May 20, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through Thursday's close. The general decline in yields over the past six weeks has become more volatile in recent days, most noticeably in the 2-, 3-, and 5-year notes.
At th...
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Treasury Yields Update
May 17, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through May 17th.
The 3-, 5, 7-, 10-, 20-, and 30-year yields are at their lowest since late November/early December of last year. With the end of QE2 on the horizon and a cont...
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Treasury Yields Update
May 16, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through May 16th.
The 3-, 5, 7-, 10- and 20-year yields are at their lowest since early December 2010. With the end of QE2 on the horizon, we appear to be seeing a bit of fligh...
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Yield Support Is at Hand
May 16, 2011 Analysis from Chris Kimble
Veteran technical analyst Chris Kimble offers a Monday morning perspective on Treasury yields.
Click for a larger image
Chris comments: The yield on the 30-year bond remains inside of its 15+ year...
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Treasury Yields Update
May 14, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through May 13th.
The behavior of yields during the past week reflected the overall uncertainty of the market — see especially the 3-year note. Tuesday's spike was the mo...
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Treasury Yields Update
May 11, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through May 10th.
Yields reversed direction on Tuesday, most dramatically in the 3-year note. The Monday 3-year yield of 0.94 was the lowest since early December 2010. The yiel...
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Treasury Yields Update
May 10, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through Monday, May 9th.
Selective yields continued their slide on Monday — with declines in the 3, 5, 7, and 10 year issues. The benchmark 10-year is at its lowest yield...
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Treasury Yields: Weekend Update
May 7, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through Friday, May 6th.
Yields continued their slide on Friday — not surprising in the wake flight from equities and commodities over the past few days. In fact the bench...
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Treasury Yields Update
May 5, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through May 5th.
Yields continued their slide today — not surprising in the wake of the surge in unemployment claims and the flight from equities and commodities over the ...
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