A couple of minor technical problems called “business” and “life” have now intruded on my increasingly bogged down publication schedule that, in the interest...
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Wednesday’s action was a mirror image of Tuesday, except that the underlying technical indicators were stronger than the market averages on both days. The market still has to clear resistance and generate 13 week cycle buy signals to confirm that it is out of danger on the downside.
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On Monday, support held and projections were pulled up to levels that were reached, all of which suggested that an intermediate low had been reached. Tuesday’s late fade raises questions, which this report attempts to answer.
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The market reached major support on Friday and rebounded strongly yesterday to form what could be an intermediate bottom. Cycle projections rose to levels already reached and the market had entered a bottoming window in terms of time. Some indicators have flashed buy signals. But is that enough to call a bottom?
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The Treasury had a light calendar last week. The market faced a big Treasury settlement on Tuesday but from then until the big end of month settlement of new paper, supply pressure wasn’t, and won’t be, a problem. With fear driving waves of capital into the Treasuries, a downside breakout in yields, and an...
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The market has fallen to a major support convergence at 1295 and is in a bottoming window time wise. That window stretches across the next two weeks. If the 1295 level breaks, ugly could get uglier. Here’s how much.
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Drip, drip, drip goes the market. This can go on for a while, as few indicators have reached any kind of extreme. Cycle projections have been hit on the 13 week and 6 month cycles, but short term projections still point a little lower. This report presents the targets, carved in butter.
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The market broke key support yesterday, but not by much. This morning it is attempting to regain that level. If successful, a 4 week cycle upturn could be under way, but the market would need to clear the 1355 area to have any room to run on the upside. If the market fails to...
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The composite liquidity indicator downticked last week on small declines in most of its components. We know that the downtick in the Fed’s pumping to Primary Dealers is temporary, but the weakening in other indicators may not be. Over the course of this latest surge, most of the cash has been targeted at the...
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By the time the market closed on Thursday, even before Jamie The Demon got on the phone, the charts were sending little signals that things were about to get worse. Cycle alignments had said that the period of greatest vulnerability would last through next Monday. Now, suddenly we have a black and blue swan...
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The market continues to test support. A close below 1345 would break several major support levels and trend channels. Some traders may be benchmarking the March low of 1340. If this test holds, the trading range would remain intact. This suggests what is likely to happen next if it does hold, and if it...
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The market is testing major support again this morning. A close below 1345 would break several major support levels and trend channels. This report examines the triggers and potential outcomes.
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The composite liquidity indicator rose slightly last week, on slight increases on most of its components. The uptrend in the indicator has continued at a steady pace since it broke out in March. Over the course of this latest surge, most of the cash has been targeted at the Treasury market, with stocks getting...
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The market suddenly seems to be walking along on the edge of a cliff technically. One false move and it feels like it could fall over the edge. Short term, a 4 week cycle down phase seems to have started, and the 6-7 week cycle could join in. The big question is whether there’s...
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The market remains in the doldrums, with every sign pointing to a continuation of the ennui. The 10-12 month cycle is ideally due to peak on Monday, but a variance of a month or two is normal. Unless key support lines are broken, the odds will continue to slightly favor a move to the...
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Kansas City StarComcast Falls After Reporting Video-Subscriber DeclineBloombergComcast Corp. (CMCSA), the largest US cable company, fell the most in more than five months after reporting its 20th consecutive quarterly decline in video subscribers follo...
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