I’m struggling to find a different way to say the same thing again… Ah, the hell with it. The 10-12 month cycle projection is...
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Sentiment is awfully complacent, and volatility is low. Smells like May 2011--or August 2008.
Equities look ripe indeed for an "unexpected" bloodletting and resultant wicked correction. The general outlines of a equity bubble awaiting a nice ...
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It seems Jim O'Neill, the head of Goldman's Asset Management department, is predicting that the United States stock market may go up "15 to 20 percent." O'Neill apparently believes Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve will resort to another round of...
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Most of the folks who were dead wrong for years after the market low in March 2009 (see chart at right) have quietly given up, but at least one analyst is still calling for stocks to crash through those financial-crisis lows.
United-ICAP senior te...
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Market cheerleaders see a rally coming; Mr. VIX is issuing a sell signal. Looks like the next few days will be a grudge match between Santa and Mr. VIX.
Everybody wants a Santa rally in stocks: Wall Street, the financial media cheerleaders, m...
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Though nobody seems to notice, stock prices are correlated to employment, which is trending down.The Federal Reserve would have you believe that Monday morning ramp-and-camp and rumor-mill rallies in the last five minutes of trading are signs of a heal...
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Correlation data between oil and the stock market suggests the Fed's inflation and recession-fighting paradigm is bunk. The Fed is wearing blinders, and looks set to run the economy into a ditch because of it.
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“Top advisers see very slow growth in 2012.” That headline is screaming at Americans in “InvestmentNews: The Leading News Source for Financial Advisers” and most trusted. ...
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As predicted, Wednesday's normally seasonally-bullish session turned into a big red candle. That in itself should tell us something about this market, as that marks only the second time in ten years that the Wednesday before Thanksgiving&nbs...
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Nov. 22, 2011, 12:01 a.m. EST
Very slow growth 2012 then long bear to 2020
By Paul B. Farrell, MarketWatch
SAN LUIS OBISPO, Calif. (MarketWatch) — “Top advisers see very slow growth in 2012.” That headline is screaming at Americans in “Inve...
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The crash wave I've been expecting for a week appears to have finally begun. The markets showed some strong downside in the last two sessions, and did what they needed to in order to fulfill the expectations of the crash count...
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Foreign central bank (FCB) buying of Treasuries was again heavy this week, two weeks after hitting a record level. Their buying binge of recent weeks pumped plenty of cash into US markets. That normally leads to a stock market rally, but not this time. Meanwhile, there’s evidence that withholding tax collections are weakening versus...
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CHARTS FIXED! 9:05 PM OK, so I don’t have a very clever title or stupid symbolism or word simulations tonight. It’s late, I have two reports to try to finish for subscribers, and I just had a big fat roast pork sandwich au jus with melted provolone, sauteed onions, pickles, and sauerkraut, and I...
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ECRI Still Adamantly Campaigning For A Recession
by: Dr. Duru November 9, 2011
November 7, 2011, Lakshman Achuthan of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) appeared on CNBC again to talk about recession. Achuthan was very adamant in his insi...
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European markets were looking to open -2% or lower, but slowly improved and after the open, it was BTFD frenzy, which is helping goose US futures. Considering the Eurozone is supposed to be the cause of the current financial mess, it sure seems bou...
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As political and financial instability rages in Europe, the stock market continues its quest to retest the October highs .
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23 Mind-Blowing Facts About Inequality In America
Once again the rich are getting richer as the poor get poorer in America. Although rich people took a hit in the financial crisis, the stock market has recovered strongly.
Main Street has not: Median...
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Sentiment continues to remain bullish, despite the declines in the averages last week.
Rydex funds are reaching ridiculous extremes. Rydex funds offer a good proxy for retail investor sentiment; retail investors are small money, an...
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Several readers have asked me to draw a chart for copper. I've actually been working on one for a while, and finally decided to finish it tonight.
Copper looks, in the words of the famous sheep, "Baaaaaad." Copper seems to have...
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The question hanging over the market now is what Ben will do. The technical picture suggests that traders are predisposed to react a certain way, but there’s a key support level that could send a signal one way or the other depending on whether it holds or breaks.
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Tracking foreign central bank (FCB) holdings of US Treasury and Agency (Fannie, Freddie, and minor government agencies) paper has been one of the most important lines of inquiry in my analysis of market liquidity for the past 9 years. This information is available virtually in real time each week in the Fed’s weekly H41...
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With liquidity flat, one market can rally only at the expense of another. Last week it was again the stock market’s turn. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). including 86 pages of charts and clear, cutting edge analysis that you can use to gain an edge in the...
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Unless foreign central banks step back up to the plate, either the Treasury market will collapse, or the stock market rally will fizzle, or both.
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Eurozone wins respite, but it could be brief
David Mchugh, AP Business Writer, On Thursday October 27, 2011, 2:45 pm
FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) -- With their late-night deal to cut Greece's debt and support other wobbly countries, European leaders bough...
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SPX, Euro, and Dollar Update: Are the Bulls for Real?
On the exceptionally light volume of Friday's session, the SPX staged a breakout over its 200 dma and a major resistance line. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also knocked out my preferred count, which had held its ground since October. &nb...
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