Posts Tagged ‘ Signals ’

Bears Grab For Control of Tape

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February 7, 2012
Bears Grab For Control of Tape

The SP futures (or ES electronic mini S&P) have been in a slow downward drift after making a double top coincident with the open of European trading, versus a pivot high earlier last night. The Spoos dropped below the 2 and 5 day cycle centerlines, both moving sideways at about 1339 and 1337 respectively,...
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Another Rally From the Valley, Ho Ho Ho

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January 31, 2012
Another Rally From the Valley, Ho Ho Ho

SPX cash left us with a 2 day cycle projection of 1318 at yesterday’s close. Say bye bye to that. The new projection is 1328. A 3 day cycle projection points to 1326, and a new 5 day cycle projection resulting from this morning’s gap open points to 1329. Resistance is suggested at a...
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Market Sells Off At Open, Hits Prior Pivot Support, But Looks Lower

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January 13, 2012
Market Sells Off At Open, Hits Prior Pivot Support, But Looks Lower

SPX (cash) tanked on the open in NY after hitting its 2 day cycle projection late Thursday. The gap down triggered sell signals on 2 and 5 day cycle oscillators. These indicators had negative divergences versus the SPX double top at about 1296.50 near Thursday’s close and early Tuesday. The new 2 day cycle...
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Stocks Open Weak, But At Support

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January 11, 2012
Stocks Open Weak, But At Support

SPX (cash) traded in a line yesterday after blasting off at the open. The 2 day cycle oscillator was on the sell side from mid day until the close. 5 and 8 day cycle oscillators were in the topping zone but had not rolled over. SPX closed right on the 5 day cycle centerline...
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Market’s Cape Fraying, But May Still Be Able To Leap A Tall Building

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January 8, 2012
Market’s Cape Fraying, But May Still Be Able To Leap A Tall Building

Technical indicators show some fraying around the edges. 10-12 month cycle momentum is surging on the buy side, but VIX keeps sending sell signals. Conflicting indications abound. This report gives keys to judging which way the market will break. Tweet
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Is The Gold Bull “For Real?”

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January 4, 2012

For those not following closely, gold just put in its 11th consecutive yearly price increase, with an approximately 14% rise on the calendar year... but you probably haven't heard of it. In fact, you probably think that "gold is going down", based on what you've heard in the media recently (if not continuously...
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Bears Finally Get Their Gift

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December 28, 2011
Bears Finally Get Their Gift

The bears got a gift on Wednesday, but there’s a question of whether it will be one that keeps on giving. There are few sell signals yet, but there are some indications that are leaning that way, particularly the timing of the turn coincident with the date on which the idealized 8 week cycle...
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Window Dressing and Tons of Euro Cash Send SP Futures Higher

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December 22, 2011
Window Dressing and Tons of Euro Cash Send SP Futures Higher

The levels have changed since my last post on Tuesday, but as they say, “Patterns is patterns and cycles is cycles.” At the end of the year throw in a little window dressing to spice things up, and maybe a little red pepper with a half trillion Euro money pumping operation by the ECB....
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As S&P Tests Low, Will Other Shoe Drop

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December 19, 2011
As S&P Tests Low, Will Other Shoe Drop

The SP futures are currently hovering just above what was a double bottom but appears to be morphing into a triple bottom. As a dear departed friend of the trading community at Capitalstool.com who was a great intermediate swing trader used to say, “The more often support is tested, the weaker it becomes.” The...
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Analysis: Earnings outlook may be deteriorating rapidly

Analysis: Earnings outlook may be deteriorating rapidly Reuters – Fri, Dec 2, 2011 6:29 PM EST.. . By Ryan Vlastelica NEW YORK (Reuters) - Earnings season is just over a month away, but the early signals are not comforting. Companies cutting fore...
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Screening Measures Screaming Sell!

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December 13, 2011
Screening Measures Screaming Sell!

Indicators derived from the market averages are slowly edging to the sell side, but are not yet confirming a downturn. Screening measures which emphasize patterns in individual stocks however are more definitive in their sell signals. Which are correct? Tweet
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SPX Update: The Crash: 1; Seasonality: 0

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November 25, 2011
SPX Update:  The Crash: 1; Seasonality: 0

As predicted, Wednesday's normally seasonally-bullish session turned into a big red candle.  That in itself should tell us something about this market, as that marks only the second time in ten years that the Wednesday before Thanksgiving&nbs...
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Market Top, Or Pause In The Stampede?

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October 17, 2011

Conditions now appear favorable for a short term and possible intermediate high to form, but certain additional signals are necessary. This report discusses them. Tweet
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Bots Misread Misleading Signals In Rally To Nowhere

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October 17, 2011
Bots Misread Misleading Signals In Rally To Nowhere

Russ Winter of Winter Watch, Aaron Krowne of ML-Implode.com, and the Wall Street Examiner’s Lee Adler discuss the mistaken reasoning behind the stock market rally, why it won’t last, and why retail sales seem resilient. This is a subscriber only podcast. If you are not a subscriber, click here to access the most recent...
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Surge in all-cash buying signals end of ‘normal’ housing market

Back in May, I posted an article on Minyanville asserting that all-cash buyers have kept several major housing markets from collapsing. (See All-Cash Buyers Preventing Collapse of Housing Markets.) With new evidence in to support this claim, now is a...
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All Stuck Up

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September 13, 2011

The fact that the market did not give ground today suggests that the 13 week cycle up phase may be gaining a little traction, but the signals are far from unanimous. The market is still caught within the range of indecision. Tweet
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GREEN TimeBall signals CRASH on DAILY chart?

http://megaswf.com/file/1171430
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A Full Scale Credit Crash May Be Imminent

In Crosstown Traffic, Jimi Hendrix sang: “can’t you see my signals turn from green to red / And with you I can see a traffic jam straight up ahead.” In global financial markets, the signals have changed from green to red. But rather than a sim...
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Oversold All Time Frames

08/26/2011 Oversold All Time Frames by Carl Swenlin After the price breakdown in late-July, some internal indicators quickly became oversold in the short-, medium-, and long-term, and have stayed there for nearly a month. This fact is clearly illustra...
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And the official Fed mouthpiece mainstream media

WSJ, CNBC, and now Bloomberg, the latter story found here: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-08-25/bernanke-signaling-no-qe-backed-by-data- from-prices-to-freight.html ...keep warning the stock bulls and other chandelier-swingers that Uncle Benny th...
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Potential Head and Shoulders in intraday Gold

Potential Head and Shoulders in intraday Gold

With DJIA/gold now hitting long term levels that are precedents for reversal in this ratio, I am mindful of signals indicating reversals. One such signal appears to be forming in the intra day gold chart, easily seen in an hourly chart but reproduced b...
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Gold Uptrend Channel Breakout Signals Parabolic Move

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August 8, 2011

Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Tweet
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Indicators Confirm Cycle Turn

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June 21, 2011

The market sent signals confirming a 13 week cycle low on Tuesday, but it’s a long way from suggesting that this rally will be any more than a counter trend bounce. The one thing in favor of an upside surprise that lasts longer than most expect is that the 10-12 month cycle is also...
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Industrial Production Signals Imminent Bear Market

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June 15, 2011
Industrial Production Signals Imminent Bear Market

The big story of the US economic “recovery” has been rapid industrial growth, at least according to the mainstream media. Unfortunately the story, which hasn’t been true for the past 10 months, is now beginning to fall apart. The problem here is momentum, just as it was with yesterday’s retail sales report (Retail Sales...
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Treasury’s Problems Intensify With Big Bad Signs for Markets

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June 9, 2011
Treasury’s Problems Intensify With Big Bad Signs for Markets

We continue our series of short podcasts this week with Russ Winter and Lee Adler examining the signals coming from the Treasury Auctions and foreign central banks and rapidly worsening problems of the Federal deb, along with the short term and long te...
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The Moment Bears Have Been Waiting For

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May 11, 2011

There are no clear signals yet as to whether this is the moment bears have been waiting for. Things started to lean in that direction today, but $11-15 billion in POMO and $16 billion in Treasury paydowns will hit the market over the next two days. Click here to download complete report in pdf...
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Day of Rectuming

By
May 5, 2011
Day of Rectuming

The silver thing is getting contagious. I still think it was the margarine, but A- what I think doesn't matter, and B- what I think doesn't matter. What matter's is that it's catching. My Vicks chart stank signals now confirmed. More in tonight's Sti...
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Three Market Valuation Indicators Continue to Signal Caution

Three Market Valuation Indicators Continue to Signal Caution

May 2, 2011 Here is an combined perspective on three market valuation indicators I routinely follow: The relationship of the S&P Composite to a regression trendline (more) The cyclical P/E ratio using the trailing 10-year earnings as the divisor (mo...
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Measuring the Performance of the Ivy Portfolio

Measuring the Performance of the Ivy Portfolio

April 30, 2011 I've been posting a monthly moving average update for the five ETFs in featured in Mebane Faber and Eric Richardson's Ivy Portfolio since the spring of 2009, when I featured my review of the book. In addition to the monthly updates...
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Foreign Central Banks Disappear From Treasury Bill Auctions

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March 14, 2011

The indirect bids at today’s 13 week and 26 week bill auctions were down sharply from both last week and from the auctions of the expiring paper. That’s a sign that Japan and other central banks did not show up at today’s auctions. The bid tendered on the 13 week bill was just $5...
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