A couple of minor technical problems called “business” and “life” have now intruded on my increasingly bogged down publication schedule that, in the interest...
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Posts Tagged ‘ Moving Averages ’
Is Market Correcting Without Correcting Or Quietly Weakening Before It Collapses?
As long as the market remains above intermediate trendlines and moving averages, I have to give less weight to cycle indicators which have given false sell signals time and again. I guess this is just another way of saying, “The trend is your friend.” As long as that’s the case, I must give credence...
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First Time Claims Data a Renoir
Every week the US Department of Labor and Birth/Death Adjustments dutifully reports two sets of numbers on first time and continuing unemployment claims. One set is the actual number of people filing claims as tabulated by the 50 states. The other is a fictionalized number which purports to smooth out the seasonal variances so...
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VIX oddities
Right now the VIX daily chart the 2.0 standard deviation 20 SMA lower Bollinger band is crossing to the upside of the 50 SMA. This has not happened since fall of 2008. Both charts exhibit similar convergence of the moving averages before the big spike...
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Schaeffers Monday Morning Outlook:
Monday Morning Outlook: On the Edge of a Technical Cliff
Psychologically critical technical levels are still up for grabs
by Todd Salamone 6/18/2011 12:45 PM
It was a rather hollow victory on Wall Street Friday, as the Dow limped to its first (barely)...
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The S&P 500: The Seventh-Day Advance
June 9, 2011
Today the S&P 500 snapped its six-day losing streak with a 0.74% gain. The correction is now 5.47% below the interim high of April 29. The index is 90.5% above the March 2009 closing low but 17.6% below the nominal all-time high of Oc...
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The S&P 500: Six Consecutive Down Days
June 8, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day down 0.42%, the sixth consecutive finish in the red. According to my quick visual scan, this is the first string of six losses since before the market bottom in March 2009. The correction is now 6.16% below ...
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The S&P 500: Gloomy Monday, Down 1.08%
June 6, 2011
The S&P 500 opened the week with a dramatic loss of 1.08%, which takes the correction to 5.68% below the interim high of April 29. The index is 92.2% above the March 2009 closing low but 16.9% below the nominal all-time high of Octobe...
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A Look at Treasury Yields Before the Market Opens
June 3, 2011
Note from dshort: I've updated my Treasury yield charts through Friday's close. The 10-year note yield, now at 2.99%, remains below both its 50- and 200-day moving averages at levels last seen in early December. As the first chart ill...
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The S&P 500: Fractionally Lower
June 2, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day down a fractional 0.12% after recovering from a mid-day slump of 0.68%. The index is 94.1% above the March 2009 closing low but 16.1% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Below are two charts of ...
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Monthly Moving Averages: May Update
May 31, 2011 Valid until the market close on May 31, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the month of May 1.35% below the April close. However, all three S&P 500 monthly moving averages we've been tracking are signaling an equities position. See the specifi...
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The S&P 500: Up for the Day, Down for the Month
May 31, 2011
The S&P 500 closed up 1.06% for the day but down 1.35% for the month. The index is 98.8% above the March 2009 closing low but 14.1% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Below are two charts of the index — with and wi...
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Moving Averages: May Month-End Preview
May 31, 2011
http://dshort.com/charts/timing/monthly-timing-signals-preview-tn.gif Here is a preview of the monthly moving averages before the market opens on the last business day of the month. All three S&P 500 monthly moving averages are giving ...
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The S&P 500: Up Day, Down Week, But Above the 50-Day Moving Average
May 27, 2011
The S&P 500 closed up 0.41% for the day, down 0.16% for the week, but just above the 50-day moving average. The index is 96.8% above the March 2009 closing low but 15.0% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Below are two c...
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The S&P 500: Up An Even 5% Year-to-Date
May 25, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day with a modest gain of 0.32%, which puts it 3.16% off the interim high of April 29th, but it's up exactly 5.0% for the year. The index is 95.2% above the March 2009 closing low but 15.6% below the nominal all...
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The S&P 500: Weak Start for the Week
May 23, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day down 1.19%, which takes it below the 50-day moving average. The index is 94.7% above the March 9 2009 closing low but 15.8% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Below are two charts of the index ...
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The S&P 500: Weak Start for the Week
May 23, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day down 1.19%, which takes it below the 50-day moving average. The index is 94.7% above the March 9 2009 closing low but 15.8% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Below are two charts of the index ...
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The S&P 500: Down for the Day and Week
May 20, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day down 0.77% and the week down 0.34%. The index is 97.1% above the March 9 2009 closing low but 14.8% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Here are two charts of the index — with and without th...
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The S&P 500: Choppy Day With a Modest Gain
May 19, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day up 0.22%, trimming the month-to-date decline to 1.47%. The index is 98.6% above the March 9 2009 closing low but 14.2% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Here are two charts of the index — ...
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The S&P 500: A Gain After Three Down Days
May 18, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day up 0.88%, trimming the month-to-date decline to 1.68%. The index is 98.2% above the March 9 2009 closing low but 14.3% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Here are two charts of the index — ...
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The S&P 500: Seven of Eleven May Daily Closes in the Red
May 16, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day down 0.62%. Of the eleven market days so far in May, there have been seven closing losses for a month-to-date decline of 2.5%. The index is 96.5% above the March 9 2009 closing low but 15.1% below the nominal ...
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The S&P 500: Friday the 13th Selloff But Only Fractionally Negative for the Week
May 13, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day down 0.81% but the week down only 0.18%. The index is 97.7% above the March 9 2009 closing low but 14.5% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Here are two charts of the index — with and witho...
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The S&P 500: Down Day But Fractionally Positive for the Week
May 11, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day down 1.11% but remains fractionally positive for the week (up 0.14%). The index is 98.4% above the March 9 2009 closing low but 14.3% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Here are two charts of the...
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The S&P 500: Tuesday’s Advance on Weak Volume
May 10, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day up 0.81% on a bit better volume than yesterday, but still about 20% below the 50-day volume moving average (Monday's volume was 36% below the 50-MA). The index is 100.6% above the March 9 2009 closing low but ...
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The S&P 500: Monday Advance on Vanishing Volume
May 9, 2011
The S&P 500 closed the day up 0.45% on (if my Stockcharts.com data is correct) the lowest volume of the year. The index is 99.0% above the March 9 2009 closing low but 14.0% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Here are two c...
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Economic Growth in the U.S. Since 1930
May 9, 2011
My Friday update on the Philly Fed ADS Business Conditions Index triggered an interesting email from Jim in Santa Fe.
The use of linear regression suggests a long term decline in GDP, ADS, etc. However, as a linear regression it doe...
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Economic Growth in the U.S. Since 1930
May 9, 2011
My Friday update on the Philly Fed ADS Business Conditions Index triggered an interesting email from Jim in Santa Fe.
The use of linear regression suggests a long term decline in GDP, ADS, etc. However, as a linear regression it doe...
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The S&P 500: The Friday Bounce
May 6, 2011
After a morning rally, the S&P 500 closed the day up 0.38%, but the week down 1.72%. Interestingly enough, the index soared at the open and by late morning had risen to a gain of 1.44%. The monthly employment report was no doubt a key dr...
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The S&P 500: Fourth Day Down
May 5, 2011
After a morning rally, the S&P 500 closed the day down 0.91%, which is 2.09% below the interim high of April 29. The index is 97.3% above the March 9 2009 closing low and 14.7% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Here are tw...
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The S&P 500: Third Day Down
May 4, 2011
After a morning rally, the S&P 500 closed the day down 0.69%. The index is 99.2% above the March 9 2009 closing low and 13.9% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Here are two charts of the index — with and without the ...
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The S&P 500: Another Down Day
May 3, 2011
After a morning rally, the S&P 500 closed the day down 0.34% despite a textbook 3 PM rally. The index is 100.5% above the March 9 2009 closing low and 13.3% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007. Here are two charts of the inde...
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