Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day...
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Radio Free Wall Street
Posts Tagged ‘ Models ’
Finally, a try at deconstructing ECRI forecasts
(deconstructing a proprietary indicator..... )
"Don’t get me wrong. Leading indicator models are very useful things. And the one provided by ECRI is better than most. However, these sorts of models don’t read newspapers, nor much less can they cal...
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"Sentiment is Very Bullish"
http://blogs.decisionpoint.com/chart_spotlight/2010/12/sentiment-is-very-
bullish.html
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"While high levels of bullish sentiment among advisors, investors, and money managers usually occur at market tops, market tops do not always...
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Brodsky on gold….
Link
"In such policy-centric economies we can have debt deflation and monetary base inflation at the same time. This odd combination challenges modern economic orthodoxy at its core, yet it describes precisely the current economic environment. Most co...
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From Black Scholes to Black Holes (part 4- Finance)
Were a modern-day financial Rip Van Winkle to awake today having slumbered for the past 20 years, he would observe a capital market vastly different from the one he knew. Introduction: From Black Scholes to Black Holes
It's been 16 years since the above noted book-a collection of essays explainging how one models the risks...
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Is that an echo?
How funny to come across a similar view.The late twentieth century was the heyday of deductive economics. Talented and facile theorists set the intellectual agenda. Their very facility enabled them to build models with virtually any implication, which meant that policy makers could pick and choose at their convenience. Theory turned out to be...
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False Alphas
The term alpha in a nutshell it used to measure risk adjusted returns. All investors, whether big or small need to think in these terms. However, unlike the black box Boyz, I feel we can do this qualitatively. In fact, doing so quantitatively is actually a huge mistake because it models from historical experience....
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