A couple of minor technical problems called “business” and “life” have now intruded on my increasingly bogged down publication schedule that, in the interest...
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Posts Tagged ‘ Lee Adler ’
Fed’s George: Board Members Should Resign if Undermining Confidence – WSJ
A Federal Reserve regional bank president on Thursday said board members should resign if they undermine public confidence in the central bank system. In the wake of recent criticism of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive James Dimon‘s role on the New York Fed board, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Esther...
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Rumors and Denials of Rumors
The market rallied higher once again on more rumors (some kind of unworkable bank deposit scheme: what Europe’s loan-deposit ratios look like), and denials of yesterday’s rumors (L-Pap now says Greece to say in EU, blah, blah). The second chart shows what’s involved with PIIGS banking deposits. Using hook theory, trading rumors is the modus...
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Winter Covers Shorts; Maladjusted US Economy Seems Good Because of European Capital Influx- Free Podcast
Russ Winter has covered most of his short positions. He tells why, and talks about his strategy going forward. He and Lee Adler ruminate about why the Fed can’t move yet but will if certain clear parameters are reached. This is a free podcast, available to all. Click here to listen or use the...
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The Deeper Meaning of the Facebook Flop
Aaron Krowne joins Lee Adler to talk about the Fecebook flop, the idea that the Fed conducted a stealth QE (it didn’t), and a few observations from the NY hard money conference. This is a subscriber only podcast. If you are not a subscriber, click here to access the most recent free podcast posted on Monday, April...
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Bulls Make Last Stand At Critical Major Support Level
The market has fallen to a major support convergence at 1295 and is in a bottoming window time wise. That window stretches across the next two weeks. If the 1295 level breaks, ugly could get uglier. Here’s how much.
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Weakening Federal Withholding Tax Collections Do Note Bode Well For Employment
This report is an excerpt from the permanent Employment Chart page. The edge that Federal Withholding Tax collections had held over last year continued to narrow last week, suggesting a weakening employment picture in May. The chart below compares current withholding tax collections with last year on the same date. This year collections have...
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The Bears Are Back In Town
The market keeps taking out support levels as if they’re not there, and cycle projections keep dropping. Long term indicators are beginning to hint at the return of the 4 year cycle. This report examines the implications.
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My Exchange With “Tyler Durden”
Tyler Durden is a “person” (or persons), who doesn’t want to reveal his true identity in public, instead cloaking himself behind a mythical cinema persona. That persona is who “Tyler” wishes he was, not who he is. You all know “Tyler.” He’s the guy who started and runs Zerohedge, which is a truly great...
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Is The Precious Metals Selloff Manipulated So Insiders Can Accumulate?
Russ Winter and Lee Adler discuss the precious metals and precious metals stocks, as well as the stock market outlook. This is a subscriber only podcast. If you are not a subscriber, click here to access the most recent free podcast posted on Monday, April 23. Subscribers can click the player at the bottom of this post...
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Big investors bought JPMorgan shares in 1st qtr | Reuters
May 15 (Reuters) – Noted investors including mutual fund giant Fidelity Investments and hedge fund manager Leon Cooperman bought shares of JPMorgan Chase & Co in the first quarter, just before the stock was rocked by revelations of a surprise $2 billion trading loss… Boston-based Fidelity, one of the largest managers of U.S. mutual...
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Not Truth or Justice, but the New American Way
Russ Winter and Lee Adler discuss JPM, the false facade of US safety and the economy doing well as states face growing crises, and the likelihood of indictments coming for the banksters.
This is a subscriber only podcast.
If you are not a subscriber,...
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Great Timing! Investors Dumped Bearish Bets Most Since 2008 – Bloomberg
As individuals bail out of U.S. stocks at the fastest rate in three decades, professional speculators have cut bearish bets by the most since 2008. Money managers are net short 19,375 contracts on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index, down 82 percent from a four-year high in September even after the figure jumped from...
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Fables of Wealth – NYTimes.com
THERE is an ongoing debate in this country about the rich: who they are, what their social role may be, whether they are good or bad. Well, consider the following. A recent study found that 10 percent of people who work on Wall Street are “clinical psychopaths,” exhibiting a lack of interest in and...
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Euro zone turmoil boosts London property stampede | Reuters
Worsening financial and political turmoil in southern Europe caused a surge of interest in London property last month with buyers from Greece and Spain showing strongly among investors seeking a safe haven for their money. The number of Greeks searching for homes costing more than 1.5 million pounds ($2.4 million) on the website of...
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Money Market and Mutual Fund Flows Charts Updated
Equity Mutual Fund Flows The permanent page for these charts is Mutual Fund and Money Market Fund Flows Charts. The charts will be updated there regularly. April projected based on weekly figures. While not a primary liquidity driver, this chart is useful as a peripheral market indicator. It has begun to turn intermediate term bearish...
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Mainstream Media Touts Consumer Sentiment 4-Year High, But Here’s What You Need to Know
Consumer Sentiment at More Than 4-Year High blared the headlines. Here's what you really need to know about that.
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Server Outage – Update
Update Saturday 3:42 PM: Things seem to be up and running. Let’s keep our fingers crossed. Due to the attention I have had to give this, the Professional Edition Treasury update has been delayed. It should be posted by Sunday evening along with the Market Update. The Fed Report will be further delayed with...
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Putting Our Slow Jobs Recovery Into Perspective – Businessweek
Disappointing, but not shocking. The government’s report Friday that the economy created fewer jobs than expected in April—115,000—showed an unwelcome deceleration of America’s job-creating machine. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg News had a median forecast of 160,000 jobs created. In the big picture, though, the nearly 3-year-old expansion is proceeding at the same pace as...
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Chorus Against the Fed Bubble and Ministry of Truth Propaganda Gaining Momentum
The chorus against the Fed Bubble continues apace as David Einhorn rips Fed’s jelly donuts policies. Rick Santelli and Fed apologist Steve Leisman discuss the Einhorn’s statement. These exchanges have gone on for a few years, except now Leisman really seems to be on the defensive in a crackpot blathering rancid stale bread kind of way. Next...
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ISM and New Factory Orders Charts Explained in Real Terms
As this data is updated monthly you can access the updated data from the Economic Charts menu in the lower left sidebar. Or just bookmark the permanent page. ISM New Orders Index Not Seasonally Adjusted The ISM not seasonally adjusted (in other words, actual) new orders index as of April 2012 has been diverging...
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The Last Ponzi Game Standing
Lee Adler argues that the idea that US economic growth and European economic crisis proves that austerity is a bad thing is false. The US only looks good in comparison, because capital is flowing out of Europe to the last Ponzi game standing, the US Treasury market. The US Treasury magically and instantly converts...
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Plosser Says Rates Should Rise Before 2014 FOMC Target Date
Philly Fed President Charles Plosser said in a speech in San Diego: “You may know that I dissented from the FOMC decisions in August and September because it was not clear to me that increasing monetary policy accommodation was appropriate then. After all, inflation was higher and unemployment was lower relative to the previous...
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My Quick Take On the Housing Data
Some tweets on the housing data.
Lee Adler @Lee_Adler actual inventory to sales ratio at 4.5 lowest since Aug 05. http://pbckt.com/pA.RnqWlY
Lee Adler @Lee_Adler NSA inventory revised down each month Nov to Feb. Completed units revised dow...
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Indicators That Lie
Lee Adler and Russ Winter, joined by Ilene of Phil’s Stock World, discuss how certain indicators misrepresent the truth, and keep investors and traders in the dark. Signs of a sharp deterioration in economic and financial conditions abound, but the market rolls on. This is a subscriber only podcast. If you are not a subscriber, click...
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Distortions In House of Mirror Economy
Lee Adler and Russ Winter discuss how the boom bust cycle in natural gas ties in with the strong cyclical uptrend in durable goods, and why all will collapse when the Fed is forced to stop propping. The question is when. This is a subscriber only podcast. If you are not a subscriber, click here to...
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Everybody Wants To Be Al Capone
Lee Adler and Russ Winter discuss why financial crimes aren’t scandals any more, and Lee tells how much higher the market will go and for how much longer, while Russ, beaten into near submission by the corrupt system only meekly disagrees. This is a subscriber only podcast. Free Clip. Click here to listen. If...
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New House Sales Show Continued Improvement
While the media was touting a miss on consensus expectations, and Bloomberg posted an outright lie on Twitter, the actual unadjusted data did show a big improvement over the year ago performance.
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What If There’s a Bank Run?
Russ Winter and Lee Adler, joined by Aaron Krowne, argue the likelihood of a bank run, what the Fed would do, and what the impact would be. This is a subscriber only podcast. If you are not a subscriber, click here to access the most recent free podcast posted on Monday, March 5. Subscribers...
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Winter Fights The Tape In Central Bank Sponsored Mania
Lee Adler says this central bank supported mania can run for a while, while Russ Winter cites a bearish litany, while Aaron Krowne leans toward the bearish view. Who’s right? This is a subscriber only podcast. If you are not a subscriber, click here to access the most recent free podcast posted on Monday,...
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Black Swan Swarms Approach
On Radio Free Wall Street, Lee Adler and I have had lively discussions about market predictors. Lee holds to his work on monetary and technical indicators. Normally that might be the preferred method, but right now something doesn’t pass my smell test. I’ve been saying that the markets, as currently positioned, are extremely vulnerable to...
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Winter Covers Shorts; Maladjusted US Economy Seems Good Because of European Capital Influx- Free Podcast
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Three Critical Industries Now in Serious Capital Destruction Mode
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The Deeper Meaning of the Facebook Flop
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Weakening Federal Withholding Tax Collections Do Note Bode Well For Employment
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