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	<title>The Wall Street Examiner &#187; Kool Aid</title>
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		<title>Three Critical Industries Now in Serious Capital Destruction Mode</title>
		<link>http://wallstreetexaminer.com/2012/05/21/three-critical-industries-now-in-serious-capital-destruction-mode/</link>
		<comments>http://wallstreetexaminer.com/2012/05/21/three-critical-industries-now-in-serious-capital-destruction-mode/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 22 May 2012 04:04:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Russ Winter</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.wallstreetexaminer.com/blogs/winter/?p=4972</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the whodathunk department, Reuters is reporting that Chinese buyers are defaulting on deliveries of  iron ore and coal shipments. As I have been reporting for months, ships have been mothballed,  triggering another round of under-reportedbanking losses.  Also reported from China is a 15% drop YoY in property sales, and more importantly it saw a 19% drop in land sales. Land sales are how China’s local governments finance themselves (see China Bubble Bursts Symposium). This is all part of the general extreme maladjusted theme that I wrote about earlier on natural gas and more. This creates impossible conditions for producing firms in which to operate. It should now be no surprise that this climate is creating a bust in the shale gas area, which has now spread to the coal area. The problems with both shale gas and coal are high, capital-destroying production costs. Apparently coal companies drank the “sell to China forever” Kool Aid, and ramped up production.  As a result of the over-production, coal company stocks have experienced a historic sell off and panic.  Like shale gas producers, many coal firms are leveraged, and are now facing insolvency. In turn this has spread to electric utilities where marginal rates have collapsed. Many utilities are also now selling the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="tweetthis" style="text-align:left;"><p> <a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tt" href="http://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Three+Critical+Industries+Now+in+Serious+Capital+Destruction+Mode+http%3A%2F%2Fis.gd%2FgaMaJK" title="Post to Twitter"><img class="nothumb" src="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/wp-content/plugins/tweet-this/icons/en/twitter/tt-twitter-micro3.png" alt="Post to Twitter" /></a></p></div><div class="tweetthis" style="text-align: left;">
<p><img class="alignleft" style="margin-right: 6px;" src="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/uploads/image1842.jpg" alt="" width="248" height="188" />In the whodathunk department, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/05/21/china-coal-defaults-idUSL4E8GL1BS20120521">Reuters is reporting</a> that Chinese buyers are defaulting on deliveries of  iron ore and coal shipments. As I have been reporting for months, ships have been mothballed,  triggering another round of under-reported <a id="_GPLITA_5" title="Powered by Text-Enhance" href="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/blogs/winter/actionable/2012/05/22/three-major-industries-now-in-serious-capital-destruction-mode/">banking</a> losses.  Also reported from China is a 15% drop YoY in property sales, and more importantly it saw a 19% drop in land sales. Land sales are how China’s local governments finance themselves (see <a href="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/blogs/winter/actionable/2010/12/26/%E2%80%9Cif-the-china-bubble-bursts%E2%80%9D-symposium/">China Bubble Bursts Symposium).</a></p>
<p>This is all part of the general extreme maladjusted theme that I wrote about earlier on <a id="_GPLITA_3" title="Powered by Text-Enhance" href="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/blogs/winter/actionable/2012/05/22/three-major-industries-now-in-serious-capital-destruction-mode/">natural gas</a> and more. This creates impossible conditions for producing firms in which to operate. It should now be no surprise that this climate is creating a bust in the shale gas area, which has now spread to the coal area. High, capital-destroying production costs are problems with both shale gas and coal.</p>
<p>Apparently coal companies drank the “sell to China forever” Kool Aid, and ramped up production.  As a result of the over-production, coal company <a id="_GPLITA_4" title="Powered by Text-Enhance" href="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/blogs/winter/actionable/2012/05/22/three-major-industries-now-in-serious-capital-destruction-mode/">stocks</a> have experienced a historic sell off and panic.  Like shale gas producers, many coal firms are leveraged, and are now facing insolvency. In turn this has spread to electric utilities where marginal rates have collapsed. Many utilities are also now selling the marginal power below cost of production, and are thus destroying capital.</p>
<p>In my glass-empty view, the idea that three key industries — natural gas, coal production and electric utilities — are operating well below the cost of production is not a bullish event, even if it temporarily results in price breaks for industrial users. And what are industrial users suppose to do? Ramp up production based upon the continuation of bargain prices as the three industries proceed to liquidate themselves? Of course not. Once again I ask: How does any industry plan to operate smartly in this unstable environment? I submit that this development is disruptive and very bearish. This is made even worse by the end-game Keynesian/Wizard of Oz economics of the day.</p>
<p>As investors, these short-term booms followed by severe busts are hard to navigate. As an operating theme though, one can see that once the bust gets underway, capital and lending is withdrawn, and the market begins to see who (CHK for example) was swimming without a bathing suit when the tide went out. One can also see the potential for <a id="_GPLITA_1" title="Powered by Text-Enhance" href="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/blogs/winter/actionable/2012/05/22/three-major-industries-now-in-serious-capital-destruction-mode/">mezzanine</a>“rescue deals” to materialize as these assets are thrown into the tar pit and liquidated. Interestingly, so far there has been little interest in acquiring shale nat gas assets, suggesting the capitulation is still to come.</p>
<p>-Continue at <strong><a href="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/blogs/winter">Russ Winter&#8217;s</a> Actionable</strong>- Actual trading with tactics and strategy from a master. <a href="http://www.wallstreetexaminer.com/blogs/winter/?page_id=1871">Learn more and subscribe now.</a></p>
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		<title>Fed Bubble is Now Common Knowledge: A John Galt Moment?</title>
		<link>http://wallstreetexaminer.com/2012/05/03/fed-bubble-is-now-common-knowledge-a-john-galt-moment/</link>
		<comments>http://wallstreetexaminer.com/2012/05/03/fed-bubble-is-now-common-knowledge-a-john-galt-moment/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 May 2012 07:06:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Russ Winter</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.wallstreetexaminer.com/blogs/winter/?p=4912</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of the “elite,” conomist Martin Feldstein was once considered one of the finalists for Greenspan’s spot, before a true sycophant, the Bernank, was appointed.  The rest is history but seems Feldstein is having an Atlas Shrugged, John Galt moment about what has transpired.
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="tweetthis" style="text-align:left;"><p> <a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tt" href="http://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Fed+Bubble+is+Now+Common+Knowledge%3A+A+John+Galt+Moment%3F+http%3A%2F%2Fis.gd%2F0XjvpV" title="Post to Twitter"><img class="nothumb" src="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/wp-content/plugins/tweet-this/icons/en/twitter/tt-twitter-micro3.png" alt="Post to Twitter" /></a></p></div><div class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 256px"><img style="margin-right: 6px;" title="Feldstein smiles at one of his star pupils" src="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/uploads/image1755.jpg" alt="" width="246" height="152" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Feldstein smiles at one of his star pupils</p></div>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>One of the “elite,” conomist Martin Feldstein was once considered one of the finalists for Greenspan’s spot, before a true sycophant, the Bernank, was appointed.  The rest is history but seems Feldstein is having an Atlas Shrugged, John Galt moment about what has transpired.</p>
<blockquote><p>“The <a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/nbers-martin-feldstein-bashes-deplorable-us-economy-says-bernanke-has-engineered-another-stock-">stock market</a> is, I think, responding to the Fed. I think the real danger is that this is a bubble in the stock market created by low long-term interest rates that the Fed has engineered….The danger is, like all bubbles, they burst at some point”</p></blockquote>
<p>Other John Galt moments include the veteran investor space as another hedge fund titan,  John Arnold c<a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/john-arnold-closing-centaurus-energy-master-fund-central-planning-slowly-kills-commodity-tradin">loses shop in the energy arena.</a>  Rejection of the liquidity only theorem at work here? How long would any entity, let alone the balls to the walls moral hazard types survive in even a slightly more normalized world?</p>
<p>Another sign that John Galt Investor has about had it with central planned ‘conomies and markets combined with Ministry of Truth black propaganda are CNBC’s ratings. They are falling off a cliff.<a href="http://www.zerohedge.com/news/central-planning-about-cost-jobs-your-favorite-cnbc-anchors"> Some point the finger at Andrew Soskin,</a> but he is merely a symptom. I see it as more disgust and disinterest in Fed Bubbles, TBTF rigged, manipulated markets.   Another -$1.6 billion outflow from domestic equities, marking 10th consecutive weeks.   This results in more vaccum tube trading, no depth,  algo addled markets,  with the few remaining participants drinking heavily of the spiked Kool Aid.</p>
<p>Tuesday ISM release and subsequent vacuum tube rally took the cake. It was an contradiction among a half dozen other data points pointing to ‘conomic rollover.  We see a repeat of katie bar the door run ups, followed by reversals, wash, rinse, repeats.</p>
<p>Frankly how does anybody plan or do forecasts in a central bank bubble world. Clearly the quick buck artists aren’t even trying, but are merely gambling away. Memories about Worldcom, Enron, LTCM, and Lehman Brothers seem short. The <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/03/business/energy-environment/chesapeakes-chief-executive-addresses-disclosures.html">Chesapeake Energy story</a> shows that there are land mines out there galore. One has to ask, how long would some of these entities last without ZIRP, and the too big the fail crackpot theory?  Only days would be my prediction. These implosions will take their governments with them.</p>
<hr />
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		<title>Wall of Worry: It&#8217;s Time to Make These Two Adjustments</title>
		<link>http://wallstreetexaminer.com/2012/04/03/wall-of-worry-its-time-to-make-these-two-adjustments/</link>
		<comments>http://wallstreetexaminer.com/2012/04/03/wall-of-worry-its-time-to-make-these-two-adjustments/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Apr 2012 14:00:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Shah Gilani</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://moneymorning.com/?p=66128</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The stock market is off to its best start since 1998, but  now what?<br /><br />
The markets could continue drinking the good times Kool-Aid  ...<br /><br />
Or April could be the last hurrah before a May hangover has  us all <a target="_blank" href="http://www.wallstreetinsightsandindictments.com/2012/01/liquidity-liquor-and-battle-ahead/">reaching  for the Alka-Seltzer</a> again.<br /><br />
What do I see and what will I be doing and advising my  subscribers to do? <br /><br />
I'll tell you.<br /><br />
I've been a cautious bull since October and participating in  the run-up, as I recommended you all do, too. But, as I've said, I've been too  cautious and haven't beaten the lofty middle ground of the three major  averages, which was 12% for this year's first quarter. <br /><br />
That's mostly because the Nasdaq Composite, now at 3,091.57,  rose a whopping (as in crazy hot) 18.7% in the quarter. <br /><br />
How much of that rise reflects the shine of a single stock, <strong>Apple Inc.</strong> (Nasdaq: <a target="_blank" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:AAPL&#38;hl=en">AAPL</a>)? If  you've read my articles on <a target="_blank" href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/02/22/apples-nasdaqaapl-meteoric-rise-is-distorting-everything/">the  Apple effect</a>, you know how much. It's a lot.<br /><br />
The Dow finished the week and the quarter at 13,212.04.  That's an 8.1% quarterly run. The Industrials are only 952 points, or some 7%,  from their all-time high posted on October 9, 2007.<br /><br />
As for the more widely watched S&#038;P 500, it rose 12% in  the first quarter. <br /><br />
If the average of the averages, which is 12%, was to  continue at this pace, we'd have a 50% gain in equities this year. <br /><br />
Is that likely? <br /><br />
Yeah, about as likely as you winning that mega lottery.<br /><br />
I'm a momentum player. That means I don't fight the tape  (the tape, as in ticker-tape, was the old way of reading stock prices), but go  with the flow. And I'll continue to maintain my long positions. <br /><br />
However, I'll take cautious over greedy any day, so based on  some "stickiness" I see on the path ahead, I'm making adjustments starting this  week.<br /><br />
Here's why.<br /><br />

<strong><em><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/04/03/wall-of-worry-its-time-to-make-these-two-adjustments/" target="_self">To continue reading, please click here...</a></em></strong>]]></description>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content">The stock market is off to its best start since 1998, but  now what?<br /><br />
The markets could continue drinking the good times Kool-Aid  ...<br /><br />
Or April could be the last hurrah before a May hangover has  us all <a href="http://www.wallstreetinsightsandindictments.com/2012/01/liquidity-liquor-and-battle-ahead/" rel="external nofollow">reaching  for the Alka-Seltzer</a> again.<br /><br />
What do I see and what will I be doing and advising my  subscribers to do? <br /><br />
I'll tell you.<br /><br />
I've been a cautious bull since October and participating in  the run-up, as I recommended you all do, too. But, as I've said, I've been too  cautious and haven't beaten the lofty middle ground of the three major  averages, which was 12% for this year's first quarter. <br /><br />
That's mostly because the Nasdaq Composite, now at 3,091.57,  rose a whopping (as in crazy hot) 18.7% in the quarter. <br /><br />
How much of that rise reflects the shine of a single stock, <strong>Apple Inc.</strong> (Nasdaq: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:AAPL&amp;hl=en">AAPL</a>)? If  you've read my articles on <a href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/02/22/apples-nasdaqaapl-meteoric-rise-is-distorting-everything/">the  Apple effect</a>, you know how much. It's a lot.<br /><br />
The Dow finished the week and the quarter at 13,212.04.  That's an 8.1% quarterly run. The Industrials are only 952 points, or some 7%,  from their all-time high posted on October 9, 2007.<br /><br />
As for the more widely watched S&amp;P 500, it rose 12% in  the first quarter. <br /><br />
If the average of the averages, which is 12%, was to  continue at this pace, we'd have a 50% gain in equities this year. <br /><br />
Is that likely? <br /><br />
Yeah, about as likely as you winning that mega lottery.<br /><br />
I'm a momentum player. That means I don't fight the tape  (the tape, as in ticker-tape, was the old way of reading stock prices), but go  with the flow. And I'll continue to maintain my long positions. <br /><br />
However, I'll take cautious over greedy any day, so based on  some "stickiness" I see on the path ahead, I'm making adjustments starting this  week.<br /><br />
Here's why.<br /><br /></div>
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				<div class="cfct-mod-content"><h3>European Woes Have Not Gone  Away</h3>
Europe may be on the verge of blowing up again.<br /><br />
It's complicated, but it "bottom lines" down to this:  There's a lot of money to be made (on the short side) by hammering away at  European stocks and bonds. And hedge funds and other big-time institutional  players want to crack them to make massive amounts of money in short order.<br /><br />
Because the ISDA (the private derivatives authority)  declared Greece in default, finally credit default swap holders got paid. What  happened earlier was that the ISDA said Greece's bond swap, because it was  "voluntary," would not constitute a default event.<br /><br />
CDS holders began selling their positions in anticipation of  not collecting on them.<br />
  In the final analysis, after the paring down of positions  and the final netting of outstanding swaps, there was only about $5-$6 billion  (principal coverage) left in outstanding claims, and they got paid off.<br /><br />
It was a game of chicken. European governments and the ISDA  knew that all hell would break loose if Greece's bond swap would be a default  event. It was rigged so it wasn't, until it was, which of course it was (a  default) all along. That won't happen again.<br /><br />
Players are going to go after new prey and try and hammer  down prices to trigger a panic sell-off. And my guess is, it will happen.<br /><br />
For one thing, Greece holds elections (supposedly) in May.  My guess is that Greece will elect new leaders, and they will opt to default on  their outstanding debts, exit the Euro-zone currency mechanism, and return to  the drachma, but stay in the European Union.<br /><br />
If that happens, all hell WILL break loose. <br /><br />
Why do I think that will happen? It's the only way for  Greece to survive and get back on its feet. It can't grow its way out of the  harsh austerity being imposed on it by the EU and IMF.<br /><br />
By reverting to the drachma (which will be dirt cheap and  impose its own kind of austerity), Greece's exports will be cheap on world  markets, and tourism, which is Greece's biggest money-maker, will explode. They  will work themselves back to reasonable growth in less than three years, as  opposed to maybe 10 years to a generation under the current boots-on-their-neck  scenario.<br /><br />
Spain's bond yields are creeping up (here come the players).  Spain is not Greece. It is Europe's fourth-largest economy. The new government  there wants to fix its fiscal problems and mounting debt by taking one giant  axe swing at the economy. <br /><br />
Unemployment there is already more than 20%. And they're  going to cut government spending by 17%, in a hurry? Good luck with that. It's  going to be a hot (as in fire from riots) summer in Spain.<br /><br />
And don't take your eyes off Italy. They're in better shape  than Spain, but not out of the woods by any means.<br /><br />
France holds elections on April 22. It's going to be Sarkozy  vs. the Socialists. The French being the French, it's going to be a fashionable  fight with lots of mustard being hurled. <br /><br />
Like the rest of the European Union countries voting on the  fiscal compact their leaders agreed to, France is going to have to listen to  its voters. So far, we've heard what European leaders say. We haven't heard  from the citizenry, and they're starting to speak.<br /><br />
<h3>Next Up on My Worrywart  Chart: China</h3>
The Shanghai Composite is down 8% since March 2. In the  past, the markets have been a good barometer of the economy. <br /><br />
Is this leading indicator pointing to a hard landing? Or  will China bounce back from here?<br /><br />
There's some real deep political stuff happening over there.  Chances are, what's out of the bag will be put back in and covered up quickly.  That will likely mean that whatever discontent may be fostering under the  veneer of what the Communist Party wants the world to see, the way to mollify  its people is to give them more growth and more money to play with. <br /><br />
So, I expect the Chinese will ease up monetarily and they  will push growth again, even though they just came out a few weeks ago and said  they wanted quality growth over quantity.<br /><br />
We'll see. If there are deeper problems in China that can't  be glossed over, look out.<br /><br />
Here at Home...
Sure, things are looking a lot better in the U.S. It's just  a matter of keeping the momentum going.<br /><br />
Last year at around this time, we were fearful of the end of  the Fed's QE2 program. Markets sold off in May, and we had a volatile (to say  the least) summer. <br /><br />
This year, Operation Twist is scheduled to end in June. Will  markets react the same way to a less-than-likely addition of liquidity via a  QE3?<br /><br />
The markets have been on a tear. But I believe it's time to <strong>raise all your stops</strong> and time to <strong>start selling calls against all your long  positions</strong>.<br /><br />
Why not? By selling calls you not only add some minor  protection (it will be minor if there's a big sell-off); you also collect some  income you get to keep if the markets stagnate here but don't drop back. <br /><br />
And if your stocks go higher and you get called away, are  you going to complain that you took profits?<br /><br />
If you get called away and you want to get back in, you can  buy more stock. Or better yet, sell some puts to collect more premiums. And if  the stocks go down and you get assigned on your puts (meaning you have to buy  the stock at the strike price of the puts you sold), you get back in lower than  where you sold to take your profits.<br /><br />
We have a busy week ahead, and things have been on a good  and smooth trajectory. <br /><br />
But I'm starting to get this little thing in my stomach that  makes me squirm enough to blink.<br /><br />
And you know what blink means... don't you? No? Then check out  Malcolm Gladwell.<br /><br />
<strong><u>Related New and Articles:</u></strong><br /><br />
<ul>
  <li><strong>Money  Morning:</strong><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/03/09/you-asked-he-answered-shah-gilani-on-china-ben-bernanke-the-fed-and-much-more/" title="Permanent link to You Asked, He Answered: Shah Gilani on China,  Ben Bernanke, the Fed and Much More…"><br />You  Asked, He Answered: Shah Gilani on China, Ben Bernanke, the Fed and Much More...</a></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning:</strong> <a href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/03/27/forget-goldman-sachs-only-fools-rush-in/" title="Permanent link to Forget Goldman Sachs; Only  Fools Rush In"><br />Forget  Goldman Sachs; Only Fools Rush In</a></li>
  <li><strong>Money Morning: </strong><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/03/07/a-flash-crash-fat-fingers-and-positioning-for-a-correction/"  title="Permanent link to A Flash Crash, Fat Fingers,  and Positioning for a Correction"><br />A  Flash Crash, Fat Fingers, and Positioning for a Correction</a></li>

  <li><strong>Money Morning: </strong><a href="http://moneymorning.com/2012/01/26/liquidity-liquor-and-the-battle-ahead/" ><br />Liquidity Liquor and the Battle Ahead</a></li>
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		<title>Kool Aid Drinking Tastes Good At Peak Orwell</title>
		<link>http://radiofreewallstreet.fm/?p=1770</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Feb 2012 21:12:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee Adler</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[With the ECB and European governments throwing good money after bad, the Wall Street Examiner&#8217;s Lee Adler asks Russ Winter of Winter (Economic and Market) Watch, &#8220;What were they thinking?&#8221; As Russ so aptly puts it, the Kool Aid tastes good with the world at Peak Orwell. Russ expects a crash soon. Lee expects a blowoff first, and gives price and time targets. This is a subscriber only podcast. If you are not a subscriber, click here to access the most recent free podcast posted on Thursday, January 19. Subscribers can click the player at the bottom of this post (visible on Radio Free Wall Street main site only) to listen to today&#8217;s podcast, or use this link to download. If you are not a subscriber and would like to hear not only today&#8217;s podcast but all 8-10 podcasts each month, click this button to start your subscription. It takes less than a minute to complete the signup form and start listening. 3 month subscription to Radio Free Wall Street podcasts, renewing automatically unless canceled. Price: $29.00 By clicking this button, you agree to the Terms of Use. To learn more click here! Never miss another Radio Free Wall Street [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With the ECB and European governments throwing good money after bad, the Wall Street Examiner&#8217;s Lee Adler asks Russ Winter of Winter (Economic and Market) Watch, &#8220;What were they thinking?&#8221; As Russ so aptly puts it, the Kool Aid tastes good with the world at Peak Orwell. Russ expects a crash soon. Lee expects a blowoff first, and gives price and time targets. </p>
<p>This is a subscriber only <a href="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/paid/rf022312.mp3">podcast</a>. If you are not a subscriber, <a href="http://radiofreewallstreet.fm/?p=1711">click here to access the most recent free podcast</a> posted on Thursday, January 19.</p>
<p>Subscribers can click the player at the bottom of this post (visible on Radio Free Wall Street main site only) to listen to today&#8217;s podcast, or <a href="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/paid/rf022312.mp3">use this link to download</a>. If you are not a subscriber and would like to hear not only today&#8217;s podcast but all 8-10 podcasts each month, click this button to start your subscription. It takes less than a minute to complete the signup form and start listening.</p>
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		<title>Consumer Confidence Holds Near 3 Year High</title>
		<link>http://forums.wallstreetexaminer.com/topic/941269-consumer-confidence-holds-near-3-year-high/</link>
		<comments>http://forums.wallstreetexaminer.com/topic/941269-consumer-confidence-holds-near-3-year-high/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Mar 2011 16:01:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>a Wall Street Examiner</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Have they been chugging the Kool Aid??

U.S. consumer confidence last week held close to the highest level in almost three years as more Americans said their finances were in good shape. 

http://www.bloomberg...fort-index.html]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[Have they been chugging the Kool Aid??<br />
<br />
U.S. consumer confidence last week held close to the highest level in almost three years as more Americans said their finances were in good shape. <br />
<br />
<a href='http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-03/consumer-confidence-holds-near-three-year-high-in-bloomberg-comfort-index.html' class='bbc_url' title='External link' rel='nofollow external'>http://www.bloomberg...fort-index.html</a>]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Obie Drinks the Kool Aid, What Would Shakespeare Say?</title>
		<link>http://wallstreetexaminer.com/2009/01/08/obie-drinks-the-kool-aid-what-would-shakespeare-say/</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Jan 2009 01:47:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee Adler</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[I like Obie, but he has drunk the Kool Aid. We are doomed. He&#8217;s listening to the advice of those very same world renowned egonomists who never saw the current mess coming. How could those who never saw it coming in the first place, and didn&#8217;t recognize it after it had already begun have any clue how to get us out of this mess? It makes no sense. But Obie is obviously listening to them. So we are doomed. Doomed, I say. What&#8217;s my advice? After all, I was one of those non-economist types&#8211;called bears&#8211; and we are multitude&#8211;who did see this coming. People like Bill Outada Poole, Big Dick Cheney and others say that nobody saw this coming. Well, the government bigshots and mainstream egonomists didn&#8217;t see it because they were the problem. It was their system. Greenspan built it and he was their maestro. Those of us malcontents on the outside looking in&#8211;we saw it and we screamed and yelled and ranted and raved, but nobody on the inside wanted to hear it. They were having too much fun sucking on the teat of the Ponzi scheme they had created. But that&#8217;s for another time. The question is [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="tweetthis" style="text-align:left;"><p> <a target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tt" href="http://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Obie+Drinks+the+Kool+Aid%2C+What+Would+Shakespeare+Say%3F+http%3A%2F%2Fis.gd%2FHcBfzm" title="Post to Twitter"><img class="nothumb" src="http://wallstreetexaminer.com/wp-content/plugins/tweet-this/icons/en/twitter/tt-twitter-micro3.png" alt="Post to Twitter" /></a></p></div><p>I like Obie, but he has drunk the Kool Aid. We are doomed. He&#8217;s listening to the advice of those very same world renowned egonomists who never saw the current mess coming. How could those who never saw it coming in the first place, and didn&#8217;t recognize it after it had already begun have any clue how to get us out of this mess? It makes no sense. But Obie is obviously listening to them. So we are doomed. </p>
<p>Doomed, I say. </p>
<p><span id="more-3746"></span><br />
What&#8217;s my advice? After all, I was one of those non-economist types&#8211;called bears&#8211; and we are multitude&#8211;who did see this coming. People like Bill Outada Poole, Big Dick Cheney and others say that nobody saw this coming. Well, the government bigshots and mainstream egonomists didn&#8217;t see it because they were the problem. It was their system. Greenspan built it and he was their maestro. Those of us malcontents on the outside looking in&#8211;we saw it and we screamed and yelled and ranted and raved, but nobody on the inside wanted to hear it. They were having too much fun sucking on the teat of the Ponzi scheme they had created. </p>
<p>But that&#8217;s for another time. The question is what I think &#8220;they&#8221; should do now. </p>
<p>Nothing. Because contrary to their conventional wisdom, doing nothing is actually much more likely to help the situation than following the advice of those who caused the problem. </p>
<p>That&#8217;s right, nothing. Oh, we definitely should have a little trickle up economics&#8211;some programs to allow the unemployed to subsist. We need to spend a lot less money on guns and more on butter for sure. And I guess we&#8217;ll have to raise the age for Social Security to 70, and roll back government fat cat pensions. </p>
<p>As for bailing out the bankers and brokers and corporate CEOs and all the friends of the politicians, I say let &#8216;em fail. Too late, I know. Bailing out the rich bankers and brokers will not save the system, it only puts the US taxpayer, instead of the investors who assumed the risk in the first place, in the position of bagholder of last resort. Why should we be the victims just to bail out the irresponsible self aggrandizing bankers, financiers, and  economists, the thieving corporate CEOs and CFOs, and the lazy, irresponsible, and crooked investment managers who caused this mess? These spending programs are burdening US from now till kingdom come with a problem that those people caused. Yet we are bailing THEM out. WHY? Because they have the power. We don&#8217;t. </p>
<p>Take for instance Senator Scummer thanking Citibank today for throwing its support behind the bankruptcy proposal to allow judges to force mortgages to be crammed down. What the hell does Citicorp have to do with the legislative process? Why should the Congress need that company&#8217;s support to pass any legislation? Why are OUR representatives THANKING THE CRIMINALS? Whatever happened to government of the people? The extent to which the corporations have taken over this government is shocking. The politicians don&#8217;t even pretend any more. They thank their corporate bosses publicly for giving the OK to legislation. </p>
<p>It&#8217;s an outrage. </p>
<p>OK, just another outrage. After a while you get numb to it. That&#8217;s how they get you to play the game and turn over the fruits of your labor. They slowly and surely wear you down and numb you to the pain. Orwell wrote the manual 60 some years ago. Did he suspect, did he know, that he was predicting the future of the United States of America? </p>
<p>They&#8217;ve already done this business of borrow and bail twice and the result is as obvious as the finger up your nose. Just look at what happened to the markets the previous two times where the federales engaged in massive public borrowing over a short period of time, last May and last October. The outcome will be no different this time. </p>
<p>The borrowing for &#8220;The Stimpack&#8221; as currently envisioned will crush the stock market and destroy whatever is left of confidence world wide. It will cause an even greater crisis by potentially destroying the world&#8217;s perception of the creditworthiness of the US Gummit itself. We will ultimately be at the mercy of our creditors, and they at ours. </p>
<p>Unless they scale this Stimpack thing down to next to nothing, or by some other miracle they don&#8217;t try to raise the money, we are doomed. I think our best hope is that when they begin to implement this monster and things start to go over the cliff they will, like Wily Coyote, somehow grab a branch, pull themselves back up, reverse course, and stop all the damn borrowing. </p>
<p>As so many bears have pointed out, we cannot cure the disease by giving the patient more of the same poison that caused it in the first place. </p>
<p>Furthermore, substituting the US Gummit in the sick bed of the financial system as the dying patient of last resort is the height of folly and irresponsibility. We will now all pay the price, doomed to a pitiful, sickly existence for generations to come. </p>
<p>If Shakespeare lived today, he would not have suggested that they should &#8220;kill all the lawyers&#8221; because he would have had economists as his foils instead. </p>
<p>Polonius&#8217;s advice would still hold, however. </p>
<p>Neither borrower nor lender be. </p>
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