I’m struggling to find a different way to say the same thing again… Ah, the hell with it. The 10-12 month cycle projection is...
Read More »
In their third estimate of the third quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the headline growth number downward once again to an annualized growth rate of 1.81%. This revision represents a drop in the reported growth rate o...
Read More »
Foreclosures are setting new records again, this time not in their overall numbers, but in the time it is taking for all of these properties to be processed through the legal system. The average loan in foreclosure has now been delinquent a record 6...
Read More »
Since Bloomberg refused to do this, I'll take the liberty of doing it for them. Shadowstats watchers know that U.S. inflation has been hovering close to 10% all this year. Therefore, to engage in a meaningful comparison of Black Friday 2011 with Black ...
Read More »
In their second estimate of the third quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the headline growth number downward by over a half percent to an annualized growth rate of 2.01%. The real story within the data, however, was tha...
Read More »
The Bureau of Economic Analysis's (BEA) first ("Advance") estimate of third quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was reported to be 2.46%, nearly twice the rate reported for the second quarter. The improvements were broadly spread across ...
Read More »
MIAMI — Officially, there are 3.5 million homes for sale nationwide. But there are millions more lurking in the shadows — hidden neatly away on banks' balance sheets, stalled in foreclosure court proceedings or simply occupied by nonpaying owner...
Read More »
The Bureau of Economic Analysis's (BEA) third estimate of second quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was reported to be 1.34%, an upward adjustment from their previous data. The new growth number was .36% higher than the number reported ...
Read More »
U.S. August ISM Manufacturing Report on Business (Text)
QBy Editor: Alex Tanzi - Sep 1, 2011 10:19 AM ET
Following is the text of the U.S. manufacturing conditions from the Institute for Supply Management.
August Manufacturing ISM Report On Business...
Read More »
The Bureau of Economic Analysis's (BEA) second estimate of second quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was reported to be 0.98%, continuing their recent trend of revising previously reported economic growth rates down. The new growth numb...
Read More »
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised their estimate of the annualized growth rate of the first quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) up slightly to 1.92%. This is their third and final regularly scheduled estimate of the first qua...
Read More »
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) kept their estimate of the annualized growth rate of the first quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) essentially unchanged at 1.84%. Although the overall growth rate was essentially unchanged the compo...
Read More »
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) raised their estimate of the annualized growth rate of the fourth quarter 2010 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 2.79% to 3.11%, an increase of .32% and some 0.56% higher than their estimate of the third q...
Read More »
Higher energy prices sure won't be a tonic for the "resilient" American consumer, who - if he hasn't been laid off - is already struggling with stagant wages, worrying about his home being worth less than the mortgage, and attempting to repay some of h...
Read More »
The Comstock boys set out seven major concerns for the economy and the stock markets. Here are the first two....click on the link to see the full commentary..
1) First and foremost is the explosion of household debt over the last 45 years, particula...
Read More »
Russ Winter and Lee Adler unspin the ConCon data, the Lying Economic Indicators, the Case Chiller, new house sales, and the revival of a dangerous Treasury borrowing program. Also we debate homebuilder economics, and Russ talks about the problem with inventories, and the FDIC.
Not a subscriber? Click here to hear a free...
Read More »
More evidence of what “green shoots” mentality brings about. Aluminum inventories, is this the new normal? Looks like a problem to me.
CNBC poll shows viewers favor Fed increasing interest rates by a 65-29 margin to support what’s left of the USD.
Speaking of dejavu all over again, please take a hour...
Read More »
There were two pieces of economic data released today. The ADP unemployment data is a prelim to the weekly unemployment claims, and is a bit of a so what. So are factory orders, but let’s take a look at it see to see if there’s any evidence of green shoots, or the latest term...
Read More »
The FIM (Financial Infomercial Media) has gifted us with more nonsense today in the form of Pending Homes Sales data from the NAR (Realtors) and the Purchasing Managers Manufacturing Index from the ISM (Purchasing Managers). Bloomberg was positively ecstatic about the housing data, proclaiming “The number of contracts to buy previously owned homes rose...
Read More »
The Fed bought another load of Treasuries today, as previously scheduled, and consistent with their behavior in past weeks. Did they help the PDs absorb this week’s mountain of supply? Of course. That’s what the Fed does. It’s part of their mandate. They’ve been doing it since time immemorial, way, way before quantitative easing...
Read More »
The more the Fed buys, the more the market offers to sell it because everyone is on the same side of the boat, long and wrong. The Fed is the only buyer in size out there. Unfortunately for the market, the Fed only trades with the Primary Dealers, and they are in desperate shape,...
Read More »
Another massive insider buying binge lead this rally. Notice the big reversal the last time this happened, so might be a good signal for the potential of the rally. Click to enlarge.
The enormous “panic” and I think unsustainable drawdown in inventories caused by depressionary conditions can be seen here.
Calculated Risk:...
Read More »
Twitter links powered by Tweet This v1.8.3, a WordPress plugin for Twitter.
Yes, Ezra, There Is No Santa Claus
Ezra Klein asked (and answered) in the Washington Post today, “Why are the markets down today? No reason.” What would you expect him to say? He’s a mainstream media journalist, and therefore, by definition, clueless. I took a moment to answer his rhetorical question/answer with the real explanation (as I see it) in the...
Read More »