Posts Tagged ‘ Indexes ’

Different Look At ISM, Bullish But Weaker Than ’09 and ’10

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January 5, 2012
Different Look At ISM, Bullish But Weaker Than ’09 and ’10

This is a composite of the ISM Manufacturing and Non Manufacturing New Orders indexes (not the ISM Composite). I have backed out the seasonal adjustment hocus pocus and weighted the index according to the relative weighting of manufacturing and service...
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No Truth Coming From Mortgage Bankers Ass.

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November 9, 2011

Apparently the MBAss (Mortgage Bankers Association) didn’t like the fact that someone in the financial blogo-wackosphere actually had the temerity to make use of real, hard data, that they hadn’t massaged. Now, not only do they not report the actual index level of their seasonally smoothed applications indexes, the charts of the not seasonally...
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ECRI Leading Index: Another Tick Higher

November 4, 2011, 12:13 PM ET. ECRI Leading Index: Another Tick Higher. By Mark Gongloff ECRI ECRI weekly leading index rolling growth rate. Click for big image.For the third week in a row, the Economic Cycle Research Institute’s weekly leading ...
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Green Shoots? ECRI Weekly Index Ticks Up.

October 28, 2011, 11:07 AM ET. Green Shoots? ECRI Leading Index Ticks Up. By Mark Gongloff ECRI Weekly Leading Index rolling growth rate. Click for big image.This could be nothing, but the Economic Cycle Research Institute’s weekly leading index...
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Germany’s Merkel Gets Votes To Expand European Bailout, Markets Relieved

Markets|9/29/2011 @ 8:30AM Germany's Merkel Gets Votes To Expand European Bailout, Markets Relieved UPDATE – Chancellor Angela Merkel secured her majority on a vote to ratify the new EFSF. 523 votes backed an expansion of powers and funds for the E...
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Oversold All Time Frames

08/26/2011 Oversold All Time Frames by Carl Swenlin After the price breakdown in late-July, some internal indicators quickly became oversold in the short-, medium-, and long-term, and have stayed there for nearly a month. This fact is clearly illustra...
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Special Update: Daily Growth Index Breaks Positive

Special Update: Daily Growth Index Breaks Positive

On August 3, 2011 our Daily Growth Index went into growth territory for the first time in 566 days -- ending the longest consecutive string of contraction-days that we have ever experienced. Furthermore, the rise off of the record lows set as recen...
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Sure The Economy is Bad…But No Worse Than Expected

If you thought the recovery was on track—the economy growing again, unemployment slowly receding, housing prices stabilizing, the stock market rising—you thought wrong. In recent weeks, virtually every indicator has headed south. The only consol...
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Bots gone crazy

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May 24, 2011
Bots gone crazy

Some rather large one-minute bars mid-day today in certain stocks which did not show up in the general indexes. Black box algorithms gone crazy?
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No Roll Over Beethoven

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May 19, 2011
No Roll Over Beethoven

If nobody is going to open M2M, may I try? The indexes did not roll over but, Fall into the GAP?
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Test Time for the Markets

Test Time for the Markets

May 17, 2011 Analysis from Chris Kimble Master market technician Chris Kimble looks at the NYSE Composite Index from both a daily and a weekly perspective. It's time for a major test, he suggests, and that goes for several other major indexes as w...
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Inflation: A Four-Month X-Ray View

Inflation: A Four-Month X-Ray View

May 13, 2011 Here is a table showing the annualized change over the past four months for Headline and Core CPI. I've also included each of the eight components of Headline CPI and a separate entry for Energy, which is a collection of sub-indexes in ...
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Homebuilder Perceptions Better but Conditions Really Worse

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March 15, 2011
Homebuilder Perceptions Better but Conditions Really Worse

“U.S. Homebuilder Confidence Rises in March to Highest Level in 10 Months,” screamed the Bloomberg headline this morning. It left out the fact that the readings were barely above 20 year lows. This is one of the most important indicators of the housing market because it represents the perceptions of direct market participants and...
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Hidden Chinks in Treasury Market- Professional Edition

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November 24, 2008

When the Fed, Treasury, and FDIC issued a statement yesterday on the Citigroup bailout, I didn’t know whether to laugh, cry, or… The potential enormity of this bailout raises the question of whether the Fed will continue to be able to recirculate the world’s existing cash, or will need to monetize. We don’t have...
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Healthy Healing Part II

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November 24, 2008

Following on other points in the Roubini matrix as discussed last Friday, in point 4 Roubini suggests that interest on mortgages and consumer loans are pushing higher. In fact, the resets on many adjustable rate mortgages are going lower.  40% of all mortgages are based on Treasury rates, and cost of funds indexes. The...
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