Posts Tagged ‘ Gdp ’

CBO REPORT – OMG!

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January 31, 2012
CBO REPORT – OMG!

The Congregational Budget Office (CBO) is out with its annual report. It’s a blockbuster. This 165 page monster is filled with dozens of charts, graphs and detailed projections. It will be talked about for weeks. The report provides a dismal outloo...
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Bernanke’s Decision may lead the Planet into Financial Chaos

With its announcement this week that it will keep interest rates near zero until at least late 2014, the Federal Reserve has put another large crack into the foundations underlying the US dollar. In a misguided attempt to provide clarity and transpa...
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U.S. GDP Growth in Q4 2011 At 2.8%

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January 27, 2012
U.S. GDP Growth in Q4 2011 At 2.8%

U.S. GDP growth for Q4 was reported at 2.8%; consensus was at 3.0%. Q3 2011 reading was at 1.8%.
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Nowhere To Go But Sideways

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January 27, 2012
Nowhere To Go But Sideways

The blowoff ended yesterday morning and SPX cash has drifted down irregularly, hitting the last 2 day cycle projection of 1315 late yesterday. The 2 day cycle oscillator formed a trough at the end of the day, and has barely edged to the buy side in the opening minutes today. 5 day cycle indicators...
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Headline 4Q-2011 GDP Growth of 2.75% Masks Mixed Signals

Headline 4Q-2011 GDP Growth of 2.75% Masks Mixed Signals

In their "Advance" estimate of the fourth quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) found that the annualized rate of economic growth had risen to 2.75%, up slightly less than one percent from their "final" estimate of 1.81% for the t...
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Will the Fed Bring Clarity or Confusion?

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January 23, 2012
Will the Fed Bring Clarity or Confusion?

Next Wednesday, between 12:30 and 2PM, we will get a ton of new information to digest and analyze. The Federal Reserve will make a series of statements while unveiling  its new communication effort. A portion of the new information will be contain...
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Fiscal Policy: Kind of a Drag

Fiscal Policy: Kind of a Drag

Tuesday, January 10, 2012 Fiscal Policy: Kind of a Drag by CalculatedRisk on 1/10/2012 04:54:00 PM Cardiff Garcia at the Financial Times Alphaville has posted a new graph from economist Alec Phillips of Goldman Sachs: Fiscal flailing, continued CR ...
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How the U.S. National Debt Could Drain Your Savings

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January 9, 2012
How the U.S. National Debt Could Drain Your Savings

Now that Congress has allowed the U.S. national debt to grow bigger than the American economy, it won't be long until the American public suffers the consequences by losing most of its savings to inflation. Figures fo...
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Can "Santorumnomics" Clinch Another Second Place Finish in the New Hampshire Primary?

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January 9, 2012
Can "Santorumnomics" Clinch Another Second Place Finish in the New Hampshire Primary?

The battle for second place is heating up ahead of the New Hampshire primary tomorrow (Tuesday), testing whether Rick Santorum and his "Santorumnomics" ideas supporting tax cuts and credits can win over voters.

The former Pennsylvania senator snagged second place in the Iowa caucuses with...
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On Trading Central Tendency

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January 9, 2012
On Trading Central Tendency

It’s been about a week since the Federal Reserve announced its new policy of providing information to the public regarding the direction of US interest rates. The new policy is not, generally, a surprise. The Wall Street Journal’s Jon Hilsenrath to...
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French Banks Won’t Be Able To Handle Inevitable Italian Restructuring

12/21/2011 @ 6:01PM |1,912 views French Banks Won't Be Able To Handle Inevitable Italian Restructuring Despite the latest attempt by the European Central Bank to kick the proverbial can far down the road, the Eurozone remains under heavy pressure, a...
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How the European Debt Crisis Could Smother Fiat S.p.A. (PINK: FIATY)

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December 22, 2011
How the European Debt Crisis Could Smother Fiat S.p.A. (PINK: FIATY)

Around this time last year I warned you that the Eurozone debt crisis would trample the Italian economy and take carmaker Fiat S.p.A. (PINK: FIATY) down with it.

To profit from this debacle, I told you to short Fiat. Since then, the stock...
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Third Quarter GDP Revised Downward Yet Again

Third Quarter GDP Revised Downward Yet Again

In their third estimate of the third quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the headline growth number downward once again to an annualized growth rate of 1.81%. This revision represents a drop in the reported growth rate o...
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What Kim Jong Il’s Death Means for the Global Economy

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December 20, 2011
What Kim Jong Il’s Death Means for the Global Economy

All eyes are on North Korea and its repressed economic system this week after the country announced early Monday that Kim Jong Il, the ruling dictator for 17 years, died Saturday. The political instability to follow Kim Jong Il's death could ripple through the global economy, weighing on confidence and...
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More Currency Wars Ahead

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December 19, 2011
More Currency Wars Ahead

I’m sure some, or many of you have read or are aware of James Rickards’ Currency Wars.  A recent interview with him can be heard here.  I am pretty much in agreement that QE3 is on the way. It may be announced as soon as January or perhaps more likely February. Rickards says to key...
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Latest Eurozone Debt Crisis Plan "Another Grand Illusion"

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December 12, 2011
Latest Eurozone Debt Crisis Plan "Another Grand Illusion"

As European leaders celebrated a tentative agreement to accept tougher budgetary rules among its members, critics expressed doubts the plan would cure the two-year-old Eurozone debt crisis.

Last week's highly anticipated two-day summit resulted in 26 of the 27 European Union (EU) nations - the United Kingdom objected - agreeing...
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One Alarming Indicator From China

For a few decades now, the Communist Party in China has had an implicit social and political contract with the Chinese populous for decades, which goes something like: “We will deliver economic growth and improvements in your material living sta...
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Investors’ Most Crucial Decision – U.S. Recession Or Not?

Investors' Most Crucial Decision - U.S. Recession Or Not? by: Jeremy Robson December 7, 2011 I posted an article here on the likely course of the S&P 500 over the next 12 months. This post is intended to fill in the gaps from that article. Europe i...
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Portugal raids public pension fund, joining Ireland & Hungary..

UK Telegraph Excerpt: The cabinet agreed to transfer the assets from four of Portugal’s biggest banks to the state balance sheet. The assets will be used to bridge a gap needed to meet the fiscal deficit target of 5.9pc of GDP set by the terms of...
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It’s Your Choice, Europe: Rebel Against the Banks or Accept Debt-Serfdom

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December 4, 2011
It’s Your Choice, Europe: Rebel Against the Banks or Accept Debt-Serfdom

The European debt Bubble has burst, and the repricing of risk and debt cannot be put back in the bottle.It's really this simple, Europe: either rebel against the banks or accept decades of debt-serfdom. All the millions of words published about the Eur...
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I know Krugman is wrong…but why is he?

While watching some Steve Keen interviews, I was struck by something. I have known for a long time that mainstream economists pay no attention what so ever to private sector debt levels. I never really dug into why. But Keen specifically touched on ...
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Euro Meltdown: This One European Country Can Bring Down The Entire EU… And The Rest Of The Global Economy With It

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December 2, 2011
Euro Meltdown: This One European Country Can Bring Down The Entire EU… And The Rest Of The Global Economy With It

It's been a rough few weeks for the Eurozone. Portugal is still in trouble, Spain will be back on the coals after its elections, and if I were a bond trader, I would be shorting Belgium, which has serious defic...
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November U.S. Manufacturing PMI Up, Europe And China PMI Down

November U.S. Manufacturing PMI Up, Europe And China PMI Down by: John Helzer December 1, 2011 Today we had two important concurrent economic indicators released. China's Manufacturing PMI - two versions (HSBC-47.7 and Official-49.0) and US Manufa...
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Goldman: This is what the world will be like in 2012-2013

Goldman Sachs is out with its first predictions for how 2012 and 2013 will shape up, and the news isn't all that thrilling. Led by Francesco Garzarelli in London and Dominic Wilson in New York, the team set out to forecast what markets, currencies, ...
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China Returns to Growth Mode with Major Policy Shift

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December 1, 2011
China Returns to Growth Mode with Major Policy Shift

The damaging global economic effects that Europe's unfolding debt crisis pose have caused a sharp reversal in China's monetary policy - one that will lead to a greater expansion of the Red Dragon's economy.

The People's Bank of China announced yesterday (Wednesday) that it would lower...
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Third Quarter GDP Revised Downward

Third Quarter GDP Revised Downward

In their second estimate of the third quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the headline growth number downward by over a half percent to an annualized growth rate of 2.01%. The real story within the data, however, was tha...
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Euro Crisis? What Crisis?

I don't know a hell of a lot about John Corzine. And what really is or was 'MF Global?' But what I do know is that it is difficult for me to see anything like a 'crisis' in any of the current metrics surrounding the US Dollar, the euro, and the intere...
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These Two Emerging Markets Just Got A Lot More Enticing

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November 15, 2011
These Two Emerging Markets Just Got A Lot More Enticing

With U.S. economic growth on the wane and the European Union (EU) on the brink of collapse, there's never been a better time to increase your exposure to emerging markets.

And two fast-growing developing economies just became a lot more enticing.

I'm talking about Colombia...
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China Still Key for Investors Despite Slumping Stock Markets

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November 15, 2011
China Still Key for Investors Despite Slumping Stock Markets

Despite the recent downturn in China's stock market, investors need to remain focused on the profit-generating long-term growth potential of the Asian powerhouse.

The Shanghai Composite Index is down about 10% on the year, compared to a drop of less than 1% year-to-date for the...
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