I’m struggling to find a different way to say the same thing again… Ah, the hell with it. The 10-12 month cycle projection is...
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Posts Tagged ‘ Fourth Quarter ’
US Treasury Issues Cautiously Bullish Outlook For TBAC
WASHINGTON - The recovery continued to firm in the The recovery continued to firm in the final quarter of last year, and labor market conditions improved. According to the advance GDP report released last week, the economy grew by 2.8 percent at an annual rate in the fourth quarter, the tenth straight quarter of...
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Headline 4Q-2011 GDP Growth of 2.75% Masks Mixed Signals
In their "Advance" estimate of the fourth quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) found that the annualized rate of economic growth had risen to 2.75%, up slightly less than one percent from their "final" estimate of 1.81% for the t...
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Fed to map out each member’s rate forecast
Fed to map out each member’s rate forecast
Central bank set to change “mid-2013” guidepost on keeping rates low
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch
WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The Federal Reserve has decided to shift its communication strategy to show t...
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Analysis: Earnings outlook may be deteriorating rapidly
Analysis: Earnings outlook may be deteriorating rapidly
Reuters – Fri, Dec 2, 2011 6:29 PM EST.. .
By Ryan Vlastelica
NEW YORK (Reuters) - Earnings season is just over a month away, but the early signals are not comforting.
Companies cutting fore...
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Retail Sales Reports Give Me Gas
It just doesn’t get any more bullish than today’s retail sales report. Or so you would think if you only read the mainstream media reports. “More spending at online stores such as Amazon and electronics and applicance stores boosted retail sales by 0.5% in October, following a strong 1.1% surge in September,” shouted Marketwatch....
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China Daily: Job prospects bright for fourth-quarter
My link
Excerpt:
BEIJING - China's employment outlook for the fourth quarter is expected to remain promising with nearly one-third of employers planning to increase hiring, according to a survey by the global employment service provider ManpowerGroup...
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Vistaprint Down to Underperform
We recently downgraded our rating on Vistaprint N.V. (VPRT - Analyst Report) from Neutral to Underperform. The rating on this online supplier of graphic design services was downgraded on a host of factors including mute...
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SLABS – The best Debt Product of the 21st Century!
Well, now I know where to direct my hatred for the student loan/education fiasco.
(and I don't even have student loan debt - I just despise them...kind of like Lee hates the U.S. Healthcare system)
Seriously, this is going to blow up at some point, ...
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A Double Dip Recession May Be INEVITABLE
A potential double dip recession was a large concern a year and a half ago. There was a belief that the deep economic downturn of 2008 and 2009 could not generate enough momentum for an even modest recovery. Then, the unemployment rate started to fa...
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The BEA’s Third Estimate of Fourth Quarter 2010 GDP
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) raised their estimate of the annualized growth rate of the fourth quarter 2010 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 2.79% to 3.11%, an increase of .32% and some 0.56% higher than their estimate of the third q...
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Long View of Housing Measures Says Sell
Every 3 months the Census Bureau releases an interesting survey of US housing inventory and vacancy for both owner occupied and rental housing. I include a review of this data along with the shorter term and real time indicators on the owner occupied housing market in my proprietary housing updates. The last Census Bureau...
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Troubled banks rise to highest level in 18 years
Troubled banks rise to highest level in 18 years
The number of banks at risk of failing made up nearly 12 percent of all federally insured banks in the final three months of 2010, the highest level in 18 years.
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp said...
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Founder Of Brook Hunt Sees Copper Peaking In Near-Term, Plunging To “Forgotten Levels” Of $1,500 By 2016
Same pattern as in previous silver manipulations, apparently SOP for the commodity markets.
Founder Of Brook Hunt Sees Copper Peaking In Near-Term, Plunging To "Forgotten Levels" Of $1,500 By 2016
The large-scale intrusion of the financial sector, w...
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More Americans Are Renting
When the lenders foreclose on your house and you're turfed out of the place, makes sense that you're gonna rent a place to live. After all, it might be a tad difficult to get a mortgage on another home....
U.S. apartment vacancies fell to a two-year ...
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Oil Demand To Hit Highest Level Ever
Talk about "an inconvenient truth"......
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Worldwide oil demand hit its highest level ever on the back of explosive growth in the developing world, according to preliminary figures in a recent report.
But the world's thirst...
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If You Thought You Smelled a Bull Movement, Just Wait – Professional Edition
The TBAC cut the amount of expected Treasury supply for the balance of the fourth quarter in recognition of the improvement in revenues that has already occurred and is likely to continue for the balance of the quarter. We began to note this improvement based on our daily tracking of Federal tax receipts soon...
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A History of Autumn Declines In the Dow
A History of Autumn Declines In the Down Industrials (McHugh)
The Dow Industrials have declined sharply eleven out of the past thirteen Autumns, from 1997 through 2009, and it is setting up to do so again in 2010. Only 2006 and 2009 failed to see a ...
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Papering Over Disaster, Temporarily – Professional Edition
We now have an inkling of how the Treasury will handle the paydown of $185 billion in Treasury CMBs. It will turn what would have been a horrendously bearish period into something less so, but the respite will be temporary. At the very least, it should give the smart money the opportunity to tiptoe...
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