A couple of minor technical problems called “business” and “life” have now intruded on my increasingly bogged down publication schedule that, in the interest...
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Posts Tagged ‘ Cycle Indicators ’
Finally A Payday for Bears, Should They Take The Money and Run?
10-12 month cycle indicators have now edged to the sell side, portending a down phase lasting 4 to 6 months. It’s too early to estimate the shape of the down phase, but there will be clues over the next few days.
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Is Market Correcting Without Correcting Or Quietly Weakening Before It Collapses?
As long as the market remains above intermediate trendlines and moving averages, I have to give less weight to cycle indicators which have given false sell signals time and again. I guess this is just another way of saying, “The trend is your friend.” As long as that’s the case, I must give credence...
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10-12 Month Cycle Indicators Go To Buy Side on Gold and PM Stocks
Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
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SPX Aims for 1430, Here’s Why and What Might Stop It
The market continues to trend weakly higher. Cycle indicators have become all but worthless in the process. All that’s left is to follow the bouncing ball as it rolls uphill along the trendlines, until it doesn’t. All intermediate cycle projections now point to 1420-30. It’s pretty simple from here.
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Market Hits 2 Day Cycle Target of 1340 On Open, Dip Buyers Awaited
SP futures (or ES electronic mini S&P) have been tanking since 3 PM (NY time) yesterday afternoon when it became apparent that the Greece deal was no deal and was going down. The Spoos broke the 2 and 5 day cycle centerlines around 6:30 PM and kept going through the night. As of this...
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2 Day Cycle Target of 1352-53 Hit On Open, Market Tries For More
SP futures (or ES electronic mini S&P) traded flat through most of the night, then went into rally mode at 7 AM NY time, topping out on release of the weekly unemployment claims, which beat expectations. The futures have since been walking sideways, just above the converged 2 and 5 day cycle centerlines, which...
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Weak Open But Bulls Still In Charge
SPX cash opened weak, falling through the 5 day cycle centerline at 1342, signialing the onset of a down phase in that cycle. The 8 day cycle centerline is at 1338. If that area breaks, the market could trend weaker for the better part of this week. If it holds, then the bulls will...
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Dip Buying Reigns Supreme
The market blasted through minor resistance on Friday, and now faces a test with a band of major resistance at 1350-1360s. The market remains in trending mode. Trend following indicators should be given more weight than cycle indicators for the time being. This report includes the latest price projections. Needless to say, they point...
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Quelle Surprise! Not.
And they’re off! Anyone following the Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Treasury updates showing the massive surge in Federal withholding taxes in January would not have been surprised by today’s jobs report, but most other traders apparently were, as the SPX vaults a dozen points on opening, following a similar surge in the futures...
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Market Indecisive In Early Going, So Where To Now?
Well this is different. The market opened slightly weak after the S&P futures had a tiny pullback in the pre market. The 2 day cycle oscillators on SPX cash had been on the sell side since mid day yesterday, and are now on the cusp of either continuing down from around the neutral zone,...
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Market Opening Groundhog Day
S&P cash surged on the open following yesterday’s mid afternoon 2 day cycle buy signal. The 5 day cycle indicator has been on the buy side since the middle of the day Monday.The last 2 day cycle projection yesterday of 1316 is now in the rear view mirror. The new projection of 1322 is...
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Another Rally From the Valley, Ho Ho Ho
SPX cash left us with a 2 day cycle projection of 1318 at yesterday’s close. Say bye bye to that. The new projection is 1328. A 3 day cycle projection points to 1326, and a new 5 day cycle projection resulting from this morning’s gap open points to 1329. Resistance is suggested at a...
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Nowhere To Go But Sideways
The blowoff ended yesterday morning and SPX cash has drifted down irregularly, hitting the last 2 day cycle projection of 1315 late yesterday. The 2 day cycle oscillator formed a trough at the end of the day, and has barely edged to the buy side in the opening minutes today. 5 day cycle indicators...
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Waiting For Ben’s Dog and Pony Show
SPX (cash) opened weak in a repeat of yesterday’s action, again dropping back to a key trendline. 1310 is now the point at which SPX hits a rising trendline from the December peak that was broken to the upside on January 18. Dropping and holding below that would complete a false breakout, which would...
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Market Completes False Upside Breakout
SPX (cash) opened weak, pulling the 2 day cycle to the sell side with a projection of 1308 in the initial moments which has been reached and slightly broken. As I completed this update, the projection looked to be around 1304.50. A 5 day cycle buy signal late yesterday has whipsawed from a weak...
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Bulls Poised For More Today
SPX (cash) had a late surge on Friday pushing the 2 day cycle projection to around 1317. 2 day cycle oscillators had been on the buy side since mid day. Resistance was indicated at the 5 day cycle centerline at 1315.50 and the 8 day cycle centerline at 1316.50. With a move above those...
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Market Eating Sandwich
SPX (cash) opened weak. 2 day cycle oscillators had been on the sell side since mid day on Thursday. The weak opening left 5 day cycle indicators on the brink of sell signals. The market has already raced ahead of the initial downside projection for the 2 day cycle. A 5 hr cycle projection...
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Market Opens With Spurt To Resistance
SPX (cash) finished the day on Wednesday with the market trending toward a 5 day cycle projection of 1311. Meanwhile the futures tacked on another 7 points from their 4 PM NY close. An 8 day cycle channel line on SPX comes in at 1311, with a 5 day cycle centerline at 1305 as...
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Mixmaster Market
SPX (cash) opened weaker, falling below the 8 day cycle centerline, but is since has recovered above that line. The 2 day cycle projection of 1290 was almost hit in the opening moments. 5 day cycle indicators are on the cusp of sell signals, but the 2 day cycle is opposed, with the indicators...
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Up Up and Away
SPX (cash) opened with a massive gap that resulted in a 2 day cycle projection of 1303-07. The gap down triggered sell signals on 2 and 5 day cycle oscillators. Resistance is suggested at an 8 day cycle inner channel line at 1305. If that’s cleared, the next one is at 1314. Support is...
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Market Sells Off At Open, Hits Prior Pivot Support, But Looks Lower
SPX (cash) tanked on the open in NY after hitting its 2 day cycle projection late Thursday. The gap down triggered sell signals on 2 and 5 day cycle oscillators. These indicators had negative divergences versus the SPX double top at about 1296.50 near Thursday’s close and early Tuesday. The new 2 day cycle...
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Breakout Attempt At Open Pushed Back
SPX (cash) popped on the open in NY but that lasted only a millisecond. The 5 day cycle oscillator went to the sell side early in yesterday’s session and remains there, but the 3 day cycle oscillator remains on the buy side for now. A sustained drop below 1290 should trigger a sell signal....
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Stocks Open Weak, But At Support
SPX (cash) traded in a line yesterday after blasting off at the open. The 2 day cycle oscillator was on the sell side from mid day until the close. 5 and 8 day cycle oscillators were in the topping zone but had not rolled over. SPX closed right on the 5 day cycle centerline...
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Today’s Keys to Breakout from Rangebound Mush
SPX (cash) just popped as it tries to get back to the 8 day cycle centerline at about 1282. That cycle appears toppy.The 5 day cycle indicator is weak. SPX traded down to the area of the rising 5 day cycle channel centerline, briefly broke below where it hit a 2 day cycle projection...
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Support Holds in Opening Selloff
The SPX (cash) has bounced from a 2 day cycle projection of 1266, but both 2 and 5 day cycle indicators have just turned down, suggesting that more downside is likely, but even the 3 day cycle projection only points to 1264 and time counts suggest that both 2 and 5 day cycle lows...
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Market Sitting On The Dime
At the close of the NY cash market yesterday, 2, 5, and 8 day cycle oscillators were on the sell side, but initial downside projections around 1265 were reached on an implied basis shortly after the close. However, if the SPX does not recover above 1267 in the early going, it looks vulnerable initially...
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Window Dressing and Tons of Euro Cash Send SP Futures Higher
The levels have changed since my last post on Tuesday, but as they say, “Patterns is patterns and cycles is cycles.” At the end of the year throw in a little window dressing to spice things up, and maybe a little red pepper with a half trillion Euro money pumping operation by the ECB....
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As S&P Tests Low, Will Other Shoe Drop
The SP futures are currently hovering just above what was a double bottom but appears to be morphing into a triple bottom. As a dear departed friend of the trading community at Capitalstool.com who was a great intermediate swing trader used to say, “The more often support is tested, the weaker it becomes.” The...
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As Usual After Europe Opens, All’s Well- Morning Market Update
The SP futures were sitting on inner 2 and 5 day cycle lines around 1 AM ET, but began to sniff a strong open in Europe, and moved up off those support lines so that 2 and 5 day cycle oscillators turned up just as Europe opened at 3 AM. The Spoos crossed the...
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Intraday Cycles Point Down. No… Wait!
The nominal 2 day cycle on the SPX index ($SPX) is in a choppy down phase with a projection of 1210-1212 on the cash ($SPX). However, 5 day cycle indicators have yet to roll over on either $SPX or the SP futures. The futures are holding near the 5 day cycle centerline which is...
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