Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day...
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The supposed “de-leveraging” which the mainstream media boasted of was nothing but propaganda mythology. However, the new consumer debt which Americans have piled on since the beginning of 2010 is very, very real. And all the resulting U.S. auto-loan defaults, credit-card defaults, student-loan defaults, personal bankruptcies, and foreclosures in the months ahead will be...
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Most of the folks who were dead wrong for years after the market low in March 2009 (see chart at right) have quietly given up, but at least one analyst is still calling for stocks to crash through those financial-crisis lows.
United-ICAP senior te...
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Since Bloomberg refused to do this, I'll take the liberty of doing it for them. Shadowstats watchers know that U.S. inflation has been hovering close to 10% all this year. Therefore, to engage in a meaningful comparison of Black Friday 2011 with Black ...
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As predicted, Wednesday's normally seasonally-bullish session turned into a big red candle. That in itself should tell us something about this market, as that marks only the second time in ten years that the Wednesday before Thanksgiving&nbs...
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The cash market overshot a 2 day cycle projection of 1196 in the late going yesterday and even though it pulled back in the closing moments, 2 and 5 day cycle indicators remained on the buy side. The S&P futures pushed a little higher overnight in Asia, reaching the declining 5 day cycle centerline,...
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So far, the market has lived up to my prediction of a waterfall decline, and now everyone wants to know if it's going to continue. Today we're going to take a look at a few things and try to answer that.
First of all, it helps to know what a waterfal...
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So far, the market has lived up to my prediction of a waterfall decline, and now everyone wants to know if it's going to continue. Today we're going to take a look at a few things and try to answer that.
First of all, it helps to know ...
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We left the cash market Friday with the 2 day cycle just starting to roll over as they headed for the closing bell. An initial 2 day cycle projection pointed to 1205 which was smashed in the futures overnight. The futures have come off a low of 1192 slightly. The cash open will be...
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I believe this initial crash wave could move a lot faster than most are expecting.
Before going further, let me first state that I continue to be quite bearish both long-term and short-term. The question I'm trying to answer now is whe...
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The crash wave I've been expecting for a week appears to have finally begun. The markets showed some strong downside in the last two sessions, and did what they needed to in order to fulfill the expectations of the crash count...
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An array of evidence suggests that a crash in equities might be just ahead.
I know, I know, retail sales are up so everything's wunnerful, but the captain of Global Equities Flight 2011 just instructed the passengers to assume crash positions. I...
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Yesterday gave us nothing in the way of meaningful price data. In a range-bound market, a day that stays well within that range doesn't help much. So the crash count is still out there -- but the market has really moved no cl...
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While the crash wave setup remains "as good as it gets," the market has thus far stayed above the key levels I've outlined previously (1215 and 1190) which could actually spark a crash. After Friday's rally, the market is...
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There's been no material change in the counts since yesterday's update, however, I have narrowed down some possibilities for the current retracement rally.
(If you're new to the discussion, or to Elliott Wave Theory, it would&nbs...
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On Tuesday, my readers and I were pretty much all alone, looking for a top. How things can change in a day! All the sudden, the masses seem to be waking up from the drunken euphoria of Wave (2) and realizing the world doesn't lo...
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The megaphone pattern in the U.S. stock market typically presages a major decline or full-blown crash.
Market observers have long noted that increasing volatility presages market crashes. If you glance at a chart of September-October 1929, just b...
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Dr. Marc Faber suggests Gold could fall as low as $1,100. (See link.) I'm more in line with the other value target-price mentioned here: $1,400.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44667027
In an email to clients on 8/22/11, I stated my strong hunch for Au's -25% ...
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http://megaswf.com/file/1171818
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http://megaswf.com/file/1171430
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BLUE BALL Crash Trajectory still possible.
Will the RED BALL Follow?
March 2009 Low Trendline BROKEN
November 2008 Low Trendline KISS OF DEATH?
Will OCTOBER 2008 Low Trendline HOLD or BREAK now?
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In Crosstown Traffic, Jimi Hendrix sang: “can’t you see my signals turn from green to red / And with you I can see a traffic jam straight up ahead.” In global financial markets, the signals have changed from green to red. But rather than a sim...
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The stock market has crashed back down to 1998 levels (S&P 500 off 6.6 percent today). The velocity of the collapse has people talking about whether this will be like 2008 all over again.
I don’t think that it can be.
The Collapse of 2008 was ...
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A major bear on the housing market, Amherst Securities' Laurie Goodman has predicted since 2009 another housing crash as banks are forced to liquidate tons of bad loans.
Up to 11 million mortgages are likely to default, according to Goodman. This ...
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It's official: The housing crisis that began in 2006 and has recently entered a double dip is now worse than the Great Depression.
Prices have fallen some 33 percent since the market began its collapse, greater than the 31 percent fall that began i...
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Even though some signs point to an imminent bottom, it’s important to remember that crashes are triggered when markets are already weak and probing for a bottom. When a key support level gives way the floodgates open. That may never be a probability, but it is a risk here. Tweet
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Professor Robert Shiller, one of the founders of the Case Shiller Index has made recent headlines by stating rather calmly that home prices will likely fall another 10 to 25 percent in the upcoming years. Of course, this can happen either through a...
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Cycle based stock screening data weakened across the board for a 3rd day, continuing the all or nothing behavior that was rare before the past year. The machines that trade the market in bulk are exhibiting even greater tendencies toward herd behavior than the humans who trade markets and program those computers. This will...
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For all the crazy stories you've heard about China, the world's biggest country is going to keep blowing your mind.
The speed and size of economic development going in China right now has never happened before. In just ten years, a small emerging ma...
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SPX Update: Bounce or Die
Last week, the market wrapped up its worst Thanksgiving week since 1932, losing almost 5%, as I opined would happen the week before. There's been no material change in the counts since Friday. The bounce on Friday...
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