I’m struggling to find a different way to say the same thing again… Ah, the hell with it. The 10-12 month cycle projection is...
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Radio Free Wall Street
Posts Tagged ‘ Consensus ’
Economists Surprised Again By Unemployment Claims, Should Not Have Been
The mainstream media proclaimed an unexpected “beat” of the first time unemployment claims number today. The fake, seasonally fudged number dropped to 358,000 in the week ended February 4. According to Bloomberg, the consensus of economists’ expectations was for 370,000. Aside from the fact that whether economists get a forecast right or not seems...
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U.S. GDP Growth in Q4 2011 At 2.8%
U.S. GDP growth for Q4 was reported at 2.8%; consensus was at 3.0%. Q3 2011 reading was at 1.8%.
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New CBO report – Lower (not increase) the early retirement age!
At one point or another, all the big name politicians have indicated they would support changing the minimum Early Eligibility Age (EEA) rules for Social Security. Obama has said it, so has Boehner. Even guys who love Social Security, like Sen. Harry R...
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GOOG earnings after the close
15:34 GOOG Google Earnings Preview (554.28 +5.77)
Tech giant GOOG is set to post Q3 results after the close and the market is hoping that the technology space is seeing a better environment than banking. Hopes are high that it will post a second straig...
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Unemployment Claims Give Fed More Ammo
An analysis of the actual, not seasonally manipulated and massaged unemployment claims data shows some deterioration in employment, week to week. Weakening employment data has raised expectations for Fed action. Actual initial claims rose by 9,355. In the same week last year they were down by 1,273. The average increase in new claims in...
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Things are bad, but analysts can’t say ‘sell’ :)
Sept. 7, 2011, 12:01 a.m. EDT
Things are bad, but analysts can’t say ‘sell’
By Robert Powell, MarketWatch
BOSTON (MarketWatch) — Sometimes you just gotta love Wall Street for calling a spade anything but a spade.
Consider, at a place and t...
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Descended From Apes, Acting Like Slime Molds
Aug. 18 (Bloomberg) -- As we lurch from one high-stakes political drama to another, it is natural to wonder why societies aren’t better at avoiding self-inflicted crises. Here in the U.S. earlier this month, the government barely dodged default, e...
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Unemployment and the Market: A 62-Year Perspective
June 3, 2011 monthly update
A disappointing increase of only 54,000 jobs was accompanied by an unemployment rate for May of 9.1%, up from the previous month's 9.0%. The briefing.com consensus was for 9.0% and their own estimate was for 9.1%. The...
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The 21 Countries Most Likely To Default
Friday's S&P outlook downgrade of Italian sovereign debt has sent credit markets into a tailspin this morning, and made a difficult situation in Europe look even worse. Recent elections and failed austerity measures have also exacerbated the crisis, w...
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Goog
missed the forecast:?
GS EPS:8,52
consensus: 8,09
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The Increasingly Complex Relationship Between Man and State
Excellent commentary from The Daily Reckoning...
“According to the official figures, the national debt currently stands at $14.01 trillion dollars. That’s more than $45,000 per citizen, or almost $127,000 per taxpaying American. If you add in de...
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Kass: 15 Surprises For 2011
Eight years ago, I set out and prepared a list of possible surprises for the coming year, taking a page out of the estimable Byron Wien's playbook, who originally delivered his list while chief investment strategist at Morgan Stanley, then Pequot Ca...
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“Is 15 on the VIX really that low?”
What's really on the Street's mind right now is the VIX, which measures volatility on the S&P 500 Index (SPX), and is often referred to as the "fear index." However, it's not fear, but complacency, that has the Street spooked. Currently, the 15 level i...
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David Rosenberg: Why I’m still a bull on bonds
Of course, there are no simple solutions.
"There’s a widespread belief that the U.S. economy is going to grow vigorously, that Europe will solve its problems, and that emerging markets will propel a global recovery in the year ahead. Over the nea...
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CMG 188.80 +9.55 (5.33%) new highs on strong earnings
CMG classic restaurant momentum play like KKD, blasting up in afterhours, making new highs on strong earnings. People like the burritos, and then they buy the stock. Amazing that someone would pay 40X earnings for a burrito restaurant.
16:04 CMG C...
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My Rapid Fire Tweets This Morning
Lee_Adler ...
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Contrary Investor take on QE2
QE Canaries In The Coal Mine?
Excerpt:
Moreover, future bailout action may need to be borne of crisis or near crisis to be acceptable to voters and investors. Hence the focus on the Fed as the most likely provocateur of further academic stimulus in ...
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Jobs Report to Crush Stocks, Lift Treasuries- Professional Edition
The month to date tax receipts for the full month of February are out. Withholding taxes were down 2.3% year to year. That’s a big improvement in the rate of decline over recent months. The change was only -0.6% versus January. This is the best performance since 2007 when the month to month change...
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just affirming Russ – anecdotal evidence
Gathered from a discussion amongst online webmasters of well optimised websites that normally perform well and are quite profitable.
July to December was showing a 50% reduction in $ returns.
The consensus was that February $ are back to 90% of normal.
Small online business is regrouping as GM tanks.
We are...
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