Posts Tagged ‘ Bears ’

SPX, NASCRACK, RUT, and USD Updates: This Rally Was No Surprise…

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May 22, 2012
SPX, NASCRACK, RUT, and USD Updates:  This Rally Was No Surprise…

A quick reminder: if you haven't met the requirements for registration at the new forum, your account will, unfortunately (or maybe fortunately, lol) not be approved.  Please read this thread carefully when registering. ...
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SPX Update: 81 Points of Profit Captured as the Market Reaches Critical Support

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May 18, 2012
SPX Update:  81 Points of Profit Captured as the Market Reaches Critical Support

Yesterday was another victory for bears, and the market is now in a price zone that crosses numerous long-term support levels.  It's also sufficiently oversold that it's advisable to watch for a potential bounce.&nbs...
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The Bears Are Back In Town

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May 17, 2012
The Bears Are Back In Town

The market keeps taking out support levels as if they’re not there, and cycle projections keep dropping. Long term indicators are beginning to hint at the return of the 4 year cycle. This report examines the implications.
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Bears are roaring back – CNNMoney

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May 14, 2012

Bears are roaring backCNNMoneyBy Hibah Yousuf @CNNMoneyInvest May 14, 2012: 5:15 AM ET Short interest on the New York Stock Exchange hit 13.1 billion shares at the end of April, a 4% jump from the previous month and the highest level of the year. NEW Y...
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3+ years of wasted hope….For bears

By
May 2, 2012

Bears have no chance fighting this endless rigged game,or you might want to fade this post.....
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SPX, COMPQ, Eur/USD Updates: Today Could be a Critical Day

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May 1, 2012
SPX, COMPQ, Eur/USD Updates:  Today Could be a Critical Day

Today could be a key day toward gaining more confidence in one of the two main counts, because -- as those of you who own digital watches already know -- today is the first of May.  The first of any month is frequently bullish,...
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Midwest business barometer drops in April – Reuters

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April 30, 2012
Midwest business barometer drops in April – Reuters

WINA AM 1070Midwest business barometer drops in AprilReuters| CHICAGO (Reuters) - Business activity in the Midwest slowed more than expected in April, falling to its lowest since November 2009 as new orders slipped, a report showed on Monday. The Insti...
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SPX, INDU, and Employment Updates: Looks Like the Shoe is on the Other Hand Now!

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April 29, 2012
SPX, INDU, and Employment Updates:  Looks Like the Shoe is on the Other Hand Now!

No one can deny that many indicators look bullish right now.  The bears are rapidly running out of real estate, and the Dow in particular is within a stone's throw of making new highs. However, the burden of proof is now on the bulls. ...
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SPX Update: Bears Need to Get ‘er Done, or Go Home

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April 27, 2012
SPX Update: Bears Need to Get ‘er Done, or Go Home

Yesterday's count expected further upside, which is what the market provided.  At this stage, there's just not much to add.  This remains one of the more challenging structures I've had to decipher in some time, but if the expanded ...
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Do bears do their business in the woods, or on The Street?

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April 26, 2012
Do bears do their business in the woods, or on The Street?

The market extended its little tear on Thursday and looks good for at least a test of the highs, with an initial projection of 1413 on the 4 week cycle. The 6-7 week cycle is now also clearly in an up phase. A 6 month cycle upturn is overdue but there’s no confirmation yet...
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Bears with a win,but bulls still fighting

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April 23, 2012

Off the lows,but could go either way here.....
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SPX Update: Shortest Update Ever

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April 20, 2012
SPX Update:  Shortest Update Ever

Today's update is going to be very short and sweet, due to time constraints I ran into with some family issues. There are two reasonable ways to view the most recent action, as shown on the chart below.  The good news for bears is that the rally ...
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Fresh apple jam

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April 17, 2012

AAPL obliterates bears with a 38 point intraday ramp.... All charts sticksaved in a few short hours.
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SPX Update: Looks About Right So Far…

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April 12, 2012
SPX Update:  Looks About Right So Far…

Tuesday held no surprises as the market did a ramp and camp, which fits the terms of the technical bounce discussed yesterday. Toward the close, I wrestled a bit with the wave structure, but in the end decided it appeared a little ...
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Finally A Payday for Bears, Should They Take The Money and Run?

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April 10, 2012
Finally A Payday for Bears, Should They Take The Money and Run?

10-12 month cycle indicators have now edged to the sell side, portending a down phase lasting 4 to 6 months. It’s too early to estimate the shape of the down phase, but there will be clues over the next few days.
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SPX Update: A (Bearish) Look Out Across Several Markets

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April 10, 2012
SPX Update:  A (Bearish) Look Out Across Several Markets

On Sunday, we played devil's advocate a bit and tried to tear down the preferred count.  We'll continue watching the alternate possibility presented there, but we're going to focus on the preferred count until the market suggests we shouldn't. Th...
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SPX and Oil Update: The Market Appears to Have Finally Reached the Tipping Point

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April 5, 2012
SPX and Oil Update:  The Market Appears to Have Finally Reached the Tipping Point

Who remembers Sniglets from HBO's series, Not Necessarily the News?  Sniglets are words that should be in the dictionary, but aren't.  One that sticks with me from my youth, and which comes to mind now, is: Pielibrium - n. The...
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Market Fires Warning Shot

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April 4, 2012
Market Fires Warning Shot

Bears fired a warning shot on Wednesday. It’s probably not the end, but probably is the beginning of the end of this uptrend. The market seems to have at least entered a 10-12 month cycle top phase. Here’s what that portends.
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Almost "Everything" Update: Short to Long-Term Outlooks Across Markets — and a Striking Analog

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April 1, 2012
Almost "Everything" Update:  Short to Long-Term Outlooks Across Markets — and a Striking Analog

Early last week, the structure of the waves suddenly looked quite bullish -- however the market has, so far, failed to follow through, which is causing me to re-examine this outlook.  Normally, one can determine the next higher degree ...
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Quarter ends like it begins

By
March 30, 2012

Bears blown out in a record setting quarter....
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SPX, RUT, INDU Updates: No Material Change — but Some New Discussion for Bears

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March 28, 2012
SPX, RUT, INDU Updates:  No Material Change — but Some New Discussion for Bears

Yesterday performed as expected in regards to a consolidation/correction.  This correction may be over, or it may have a bit more downside left. Some readers asked about the possibility of a top being in place, so I'll address that...
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SPX, RUT, NYA Updates with Bonus! Silver Chart: What Happens Next is Likely to Determine the Trend for Several Weeks

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March 26, 2012
SPX, RUT, NYA Updates with Bonus! Silver Chart:  What Happens Next is Likely to Determine the Trend for Several Weeks

Friday provided a new low, but it wasn't really the "type" of new low I was looking for -- it was too shallow.  So there are still several options open.  As I stated on March 16, when I suggested a turn was coming, the bigger question is...
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Bears Can’t Catch A Break

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March 25, 2012
Bears Can’t Catch A Break

Cycle conditions were as conducive to a downturn last week as we may see for a while. This week could be the second and last chance for bears to win one.
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SPX, RUT, NYA, NDX Updates: Some Possibilities Still Open, Others Now Closed

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March 23, 2012
SPX, RUT, NYA, NDX Updates:  Some Possibilities Still Open, Others Now Closed

The market has done what we've expected over the short term and traded down into the SPX target box -- but it has yet to answer the bigger questions.  Right now, the decline off the high looks like a very nice A-B-C, so unless the bears ...
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Bulls take a break,bears still in fear…..

By
March 21, 2012

Are we there yet?
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SPX, RUT, NYA, NDX Updates: A Major Turn Draws Near

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March 20, 2012
SPX, RUT, NYA, NDX Updates:  A Major Turn Draws Near

Yesterday, it appeared reasonably likely that a little more upside would occur on Monday, and that did happen, although the market exceeded my ideal top-end range by a couple points.  What can I say: it's not an exact science.  Go...
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SPX Update and More: Why I Haven’t Yet Joined the Long-Term Bull Camp, Part I

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March 19, 2012
SPX Update and More: Why I Haven’t Yet Joined the Long-Term Bull Camp, Part I

We're going to move through this article starting with the short-term and ending with the long-term. Friday performed exactly as expected, "choppy sideways with a slight upward bias."  The second part of that prognostication projected at least a ...
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SPX, RUT, NYA, BKX: Giving the Bears Some Airtime

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March 15, 2012
SPX, RUT, NYA, BKX:  Giving the Bears Some Airtime

I hate "lazy" charting, and I think it's important to constantly challenge one's assumptions.  During yesterday's session, I began considering the possibility that my initial labeling of the smallish correction back on March 12 as a 4th wave&...
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SPX, VIX, and US Dollar Updates: What’s Bullish; What’s Bearish

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March 13, 2012
SPX, VIX, and US Dollar Updates:  What’s Bullish; What’s Bearish

Yesterday was the type of day technicians dread, because literally nothing happened.  What possible new insights could anyone have after a day like yesterday? So I've decided we're going to play a game called Quien Es Mas Macho?  Sorry, bad ...
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SPX, Dow, and USD Updates: Signals Still Conflicted

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March 11, 2012
SPX, Dow, and USD Updates:  Signals Still Conflicted

There are a number of conflicting signals and potentials, and trying to assimilate all of them into an overarching market plan is a bit challenging at the moment. On Friday, just about everything across markets was up:  equities, the Dollar,...
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