Posts Tagged ‘ Bears ’

Bears Grab For Control of Tape

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February 7, 2012
Bears Grab For Control of Tape

The SP futures (or ES electronic mini S&P) have been in a slow downward drift after making a double top coincident with the open of European trading, versus a pivot high earlier last night. The Spoos dropped below the 2 and 5 day cycle centerlines, both moving sideways at about 1339 and 1337 respectively,...
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SPX Update: Do-or-Die Week for the Big Picture Wave Counts

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February 5, 2012
SPX Update: Do-or-Die Week for the Big Picture Wave Counts

On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDU) came within 6 points of its 2011 high.  If this high is broken, this would be an extremely significant event for the counts, since second waves cannot exceed the beginning of first ...
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SPX Update: Slight Shift in View After Thursday’s Action

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February 3, 2012
SPX Update: Slight Shift in View After Thursday’s Action

There is very little to add to the overall picture after yesterday's action.  The market came within 16 cents of adding confidence to the bear count, but did not.  The action yesterday now forces me to give a slight edge t...
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Market Indecisive In Early Going, So Where To Now?

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February 2, 2012
Market Indecisive In Early Going, So Where To Now?

Well this is different. The market opened slightly weak after the S&P futures had a tiny pullback in the pre market. The 2 day cycle oscillators on SPX cash had been on the sell side since mid day yesterday, and are now on the cusp of either continuing down from around the neutral zone,...
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6 More Weeks of Winter For Bears

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February 1, 2012
6 More Weeks of Winter For Bears

Tuesday is groundhog day. Does that mean we can expect more of the same? The cyclical window for a down turn is fast closing. If the 6-7 week cycle turns up, the uptrend could even accelerate. Projections have moved up to 1370 on a 10-12 month cycle basis, and 1390 on the 13 week...
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SPX Update: Market Ripe for at Least a One-Day Rally

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February 1, 2012
SPX Update: Market Ripe for at Least a One-Day Rally

Much as I'd like to give the bears something to be really excited about, yesterday's action wasn't terribly encouraging, and has left some questions about the decline from 1333-1300.  Yesterday's morning spike exceeded the 1320.06 high, and&n...
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Exhausting to watch

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January 31, 2012

Bears fried,bulls sucking wind....
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SPX and Dow Updates: Bears Fire a Shot Across the Bow

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January 31, 2012
SPX and Dow Updates: Bears Fire a Shot Across the Bow

The bears finally showed a little bit of strength yesterday, although the decline was almost entirely retraced by day's end.  Before I get to the short-term bear counts, I'm going to present the slightly more bullish alternate, then...
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Toppy,sloppy or poppy?

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January 27, 2012

Bears getting frustrated with these endless intraday tape jams.Below ES 1306-1307 is where the bears need to take it.
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Bulls finally pause,bears terrified to go short

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January 26, 2012

Could be an historic turn at these levels,but until the SPX cracks 1285-1290 I will guess bulls are still in control.
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SPX Update: Giving the Bulls Some Airtime

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January 25, 2012
SPX Update:  Giving the Bulls Some Airtime

"Everybody knows that the dice are loaded, everybody rolls with their fingers crossed. Everybody knows the war is over, everybody knows the good guys lost. Everybody knows the fight was fixed, the poor stay poor and the rich get rich. That's how it g...
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Bulls pile in on any pullback

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January 24, 2012

The aggressiveness of the dip buying is relentless,but the volume is just fumes.Bears are hoping the AAPL rots AH.....
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Long Term Indicators Turn One By One

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January 22, 2012
Long Term Indicators Turn One By One

A pullback is due or overdue in a couple of cycles and there were some hints on Friday that it could be starting. But there was no sign of anything more than a minor pullback or consolidation, and in fact longer term indicators continue to tick to the buy side one by one. Bears...
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SPX Update: Rally Reaches Important Resistance Zone

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January 19, 2012
SPX Update:  Rally Reaches Important Resistance Zone

Wednesday's market action pushed up into the 1300-1310 resistance zone I've been talking about for a couple weeks, and this is the bears last real line of defense in the short term.  We've looked at so many indicators over the ...
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Bears have left the building

By
January 18, 2012

100% bulls,and 100% risk free returns....
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Bulls fearless,bears in a panic

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January 17, 2012

Way off the highs,but the green keeps printing for now.
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SPX and US Dollar Updates: Dollar Ready for Second Stage Lift-Off

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January 16, 2012
SPX and US Dollar Updates: Dollar Ready for Second Stage Lift-Off

Friday started off very promising for the bears, with a break below the significant support zone of 1285; however the bulls were able to get the market back above this zone before the close.  As I wrote on Friday, everything that happens between 1...
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Bears Get A Glimmer of An Opening

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January 14, 2012
Bears Get A Glimmer of An Opening

The market may have given bears a glimmer of light on Friday, but so far, that’s all it is, a glimmer. This report looks at what those glimmers are and the likelihood that they will lead to a real decline. Tweet
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Bulls,bears,pigs all buying stocks

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January 11, 2012

Everyone piling in..... Sentiment is extreme and dippers are aggressive,there are few that see any downside.
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Slow,painful torture for bears

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January 10, 2012

Seems like this rally will never end......
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The waiting is the hardest part……

By
January 9, 2012

Bears have given up and bulls still chasing any crap they could find.....
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SPX Update: Bears Have Left the Building — Look Out Below

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January 5, 2012
SPX Update: Bears Have Left the Building — Look Out Below

I think being long this market right now is exceptionally risky. Yesterday, I suggested that the sentiment survey due out today from the American Association of Individual Investors would indicate that sentiment levels were reaching bullish extremes.&n...
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Tailwind for the New Year

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January 4, 2012
Tailwind for the New Year

Yesterday’s blastoff means that the bias remains to the upside, this morning’s little giveback notwithstanding.If the bears can’t stop it here, 2012 would have a tailwind for an up year, not because the economy is so great, but because central bank money printing would flow through paper assets. Tweet
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SPX and RUT Update: Market Has Reached the Topping Target Zone

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January 4, 2012
SPX and RUT Update: Market Has Reached the Topping Target Zone

I was watching CNBC last night, and it seemed like every other guest was predicting Dow 36,000 for 2012.  Correct me if I'm wrong here, but don't bull markets start when everyone is bearish?  In March of '09, AAII sentiment was over 70% bears...
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Bulls love 2012….for now

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January 3, 2012
Bulls love 2012….for now

Bears not off to such a great start,those big gaps gotta hurt. But the close for the bulls was not so great...
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ECRI Recession Call: Growth Index Virtually Unchanged For 7 Weeks

ECRI Recession Call: Growth Index Virtually Unchanged For 7 Weeks by: Doug Short January 2, 2012 The Weekly Leading Index (WLI) growth indicator of the Economic Cycle Research Institute (ECRI) posted -7.6 in its latest reading, data through Dece...
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Bears Finally Get Their Gift

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December 28, 2011
Bears Finally Get Their Gift

The bears got a gift on Wednesday, but there’s a question of whether it will be one that keeps on giving. There are few sell signals yet, but there are some indications that are leaning that way, particularly the timing of the turn coincident with the date on which the idealized 8 week cycle...
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Minyanville Interview With Lee Adler: What to Expect From Treasuries, Central Banks, Politics in 2012

Minyanville Interview With Lee Adler: What to Expect From Treasuries, Central Banks, Politics in 2012

What’s the big story for 2012? I think that finally this’ll be the year that Treasury yields begin to rise. A lot of people, a lot of smart people have been bears on Treasuries and have been wrong about it. The technical work that I do has said ...
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Major Trend Bullish Confirmation a Bad Dream for Bears

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December 7, 2011
Major Trend Bullish Confirmation a Bad Dream for Bears

Barring an immediate and dramatic decline, cycle screening measures have sent a major trend bullish confirmation signal. Tweet
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Market Bull and bears guessing

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November 18, 2011

Market went nowhere fast.
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