Today’s Markets

Reports on current events in the markets

Blue sky,unicorns and rainbows

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February 3, 2012

Relentless meltup forever
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Quelle Surprise! Not.

By
February 3, 2012
Quelle Surprise! Not.

And they’re off! Anyone following the Wall Street Examiner Professional Edition Treasury updates showing the massive surge in Federal withholding taxes in January would not have been surprised by today’s jobs report, but most other traders apparently were, as the SPX vaults a dozen points on opening, following a similar surge in the futures...
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SPX Update: Slight Shift in View After Thursday’s Action

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February 3, 2012
SPX Update: Slight Shift in View After Thursday’s Action

There is very little to add to the overall picture after yesterday's action.  The market came within 16 cents of adding confidence to the bear count, but did not.  The action yesterday now forces me to give a slight edge t...
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Vacillating vanguard

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February 2, 2012
Vacillating vanguard

A typical lack-lustre Fri for the early openers: Kiwis +0.3%, Aussies -0.2%, Nikkers -0.1% and Sth Korea -0.6%. Minor movements in Aussie sectors: Gold +1.1% is the upside lead with Utilities -0.9% at the other end.
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Few sellers,no volume,zero fear….

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February 2, 2012

VIX at 18,with dippers everywhere NOBODY believes the market has ANY downside risk.The bots have even convinced bears that we go up,up and away.
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Treasury announces 26-Week Bill

CUSIP: 9127956A4Term and Type: 26-Week BillOffering Amount: $31,000,000,000Auction Date: 02/06/2012Issue Date: 02/09/2012Maturity Date: 08/09/2012PDF version of the announcementXML version of the announcement
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Treasury announces 52-Week Bill

CUSIP: 9127955Z0Term and Type: 52-Week BillOffering Amount: $26,000,000,000Auction Date: 02/07/2012Issue Date: 02/09/2012Maturity Date: 02/07/2013PDF version of the announcementXML version of the announcement
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Treasury announces 13-Week Bill

CUSIP: 9127955M9Term and Type: 13-Week BillOffering Amount: $33,000,000,000Auction Date: 02/06/2012Issue Date: 02/09/2012Maturity Date: 05/10/2012PDF version of the announcementXML version of the announcement
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Market Indecisive In Early Going, So Where To Now?

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February 2, 2012
Market Indecisive In Early Going, So Where To Now?

Well this is different. The market opened slightly weak after the S&P futures had a tiny pullback in the pre market. The 2 day cycle oscillators on SPX cash had been on the sell side since mid day yesterday, and are now on the cusp of either continuing down from around the neutral zone,...
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SPX Update: Market Now Historically Overbought

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February 2, 2012
SPX Update: Market Now Historically Overbought

No material change in the counts since yesterday.  The SPX hit yesterday's targets, and actually exceeded my exact 1328 target by a couple points before reversing.  A small moment of truth for the short term preferred coun...
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Urbane undulations

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February 1, 2012

Early openers going for the bounce: Kiwis +0.6%, Aussies +1.2%, Nikkers +0.7% and Sth Korea +1.5%. Aussie sectors in the green led by IT +3% and Miners/Materials +2.1%. Healthcare is the sole red, -0.1%.
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Another gap up crushes more shorts

By
February 1, 2012

Sellers pile in at the close,but another first of the month Mutual fund jamfest for da boys.
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Market Opening Groundhog Day

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February 1, 2012
Market Opening Groundhog Day

S&P cash surged on the open following yesterday’s mid afternoon 2 day cycle buy signal. The 5 day cycle indicator has been on the buy side since the middle of the day Monday.The last 2 day cycle projection yesterday of 1316 is now in the rear view mirror. The new projection of 1322 is...
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Treasury announces 10-Year Note

CUSIP: 912828SF8Term and Type: 10-Year NoteOffering Amount: $24,000,000,000Auction Date: 02/08/2012Issue Date: 02/15/2012Maturity Date: 02/15/2022PDF version of the announcementXML version of the announcement
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Treasury announces 30-Year Bond

CUSIP: 912810QU5Term and Type: 30-Year BondOffering Amount: $16,000,000,000Auction Date: 02/09/2012Issue Date: 02/15/2012Maturity Date: 02/15/2042PDF version of the announcementXML version of the announcement
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Treasury announces 3-Year Note

CUSIP: 912828SE1Term and Type: 3-Year NoteOffering Amount: $32,000,000,000Auction Date: 02/07/2012Issue Date: 02/15/2012Maturity Date: 02/15/2015PDF version of the announcementXML version of the announcement
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Precious Metals Update

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February 1, 2012
Precious Metals Update

Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
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SPX Update: Market Ripe for at Least a One-Day Rally

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February 1, 2012
SPX Update: Market Ripe for at Least a One-Day Rally

Much as I'd like to give the bears something to be really excited about, yesterday's action wasn't terribly encouraging, and has left some questions about the decline from 1333-1300.  Yesterday's morning spike exceeded the 1320.06 high, and&n...
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Tricky tangents

By
January 31, 2012

Early openers thrashing about: Kiwis flat, Aussies -0.5%, Nikkers -0.2% and Sth Korea -0.4%. Miners and Materials, both -0.9%, are leading the Aussie market down and there's a sprinkling of minor greens which aren't worth mentioning. Problems w...
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Exhausting to watch

By
January 31, 2012

Bears fried,bulls sucking wind....
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4-Week Bill Treasury Auction Results

By
January 31, 2012

CUSIP: 912795Z46Term and Type: 4-Week BillHigh Rate: 0.050%Investment Rate (Equivalent coupon-issue yield): 0.051%Price: $99.996111Allotted at High: 29.61%Total Tendered: $165,441,406,500Total Accepted: $35,419,488,800Issue Date: 02/02/2012Maturity Dat...
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Another Rally From the Valley, Ho Ho Ho

By
January 31, 2012
Another Rally From the Valley, Ho Ho Ho

SPX cash left us with a 2 day cycle projection of 1318 at yesterday’s close. Say bye bye to that. The new projection is 1328. A 3 day cycle projection points to 1326, and a new 5 day cycle projection resulting from this morning’s gap open points to 1329. Resistance is suggested at a...
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SPX and Dow Updates: Bears Fire a Shot Across the Bow

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January 31, 2012
SPX and Dow Updates: Bears Fire a Shot Across the Bow

The bears finally showed a little bit of strength yesterday, although the decline was almost entirely retraced by day's end.  Before I get to the short-term bear counts, I'm going to present the slightly more bullish alternate, then...
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Sticky shenanigans

By
January 30, 2012

Early openers going nowhere fast: Kiwis -0.6%, Aussies and Nikkers +0.1% and Sth Korea +0.3%. Aussie sectors choppy: Consumer Staples +0.9% down to Gold -0.7%. http://ichart.finance.yahoo.com/t?s=%5ENZ50 http://ichart.finance.yahoo.com/t?s=%5EAORD
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No dip left unbought

By
January 30, 2012

Buyers pile into ES no matter what news hits the tape......
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13-Week Bill Treasury Auction Results

By
January 30, 2012

CUSIP: 9127953N9Term and Type: 13-Week BillHigh Rate: 0.050%Investment Rate (Equivalent coupon-issue yield): 0.051%Price: $99.987361Allotted at High: 93.73%Total Tendered: $141,276,080,100Total Accepted: $31,000,815,100Issue Date: 02/02/2012Maturity Da...
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26-Week Bill Treasury Auction Results

By
January 30, 2012

CUSIP: 9127955Y3Term and Type: 26-Week BillHigh Rate: 0.075%Investment Rate (Equivalent coupon-issue yield): 0.076%Price: $99.962083Allotted at High: 93.31%Total Tendered: $138,766,540,500Total Accepted: $29,000,641,500Issue Date: 02/02/2012Maturity Da...
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Bombs Away on the S&P

By
January 30, 2012
Bombs Away on the S&P

SPX cash hit the 8 day cycle centerline at 1320 late on Friday and immediately began to pull back. It had also hit a 2 day cycle projection of 1320. The 2 day cycle oscillator however did not get to the sell side by the close. They left that for this morning’s open after...
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Gold’s Intermediate Signals Strengthen

By
January 30, 2012
Gold’s Intermediate Signals Strengthen

Here are today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). See the current full sized...
Read More »

SPX Update: Yet Another Top Signal — and Sentiment Suggests a Confused Public

By
January 29, 2012
SPX Update: Yet Another Top Signal — and Sentiment Suggests a Confused Public

This weekend, I was studying some data from the Yale School of Management which I found intriguing.  I can't post their charts in this article, because I didn't receive written approval in time for publication, but I will link to their site in a m...
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