Liquidity Trader – Macro Liquidity- Fed and Banking

Analysis of the major forces of macro liquidity that drive markets, including the Fed, foreign central banks, and the US and European banking systems. Click here to subscribe. Subscribers, click the post headline to access reports.

The Fed Sings A Sweet Tune – Here’s Why It Will Lead To Market Bitterness

Prior to the onset of QE in 2009, a normal reserve position meant tight reserves. There were virtually no excess reserves on the Fed’s balance sheet. That means that the drains will continue until the balance sheet reaches a tight reserve position. Except that that can’t happen because the markets and the economy would have…

As Fed Balance Sheet and Interest Rates “Normalize,” So Too Must Inflated Asset Bubble Prices

Macroliquidity has stopped growing and is on the verge of contraction. Meanwhile, world central bank liquidity has been in a declining trend since the second quarter of 2018. Bear markets commenced around the world then. The US lagged, but is quickly catching up. With the trends in place, not only will the Fed normalize its…