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Consumer Metrics
Headline 4Q-2011 GDP Growth of 2.75% Masks Mixed Signals
In their "Advance" estimate of the fourth quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) found that the annualized rate of economic growth had risen to 2.75%, up slightly less than one percent from their "final" estimate of 1.81% for the t...
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Third Quarter GDP Revised Downward Yet Again
In their third estimate of the third quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the headline growth number downward once again to an annualized growth rate of 1.81%. This revision represents a drop in the reported growth rate o...
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Third Quarter GDP Revised Downward
In their second estimate of the third quarter 2011 GDP, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the headline growth number downward by over a half percent to an annualized growth rate of 2.01%. The real story within the data, however, was tha...
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GDP Improves Dramatically
The Bureau of Economic Analysis's (BEA) first ("Advance") estimate of third quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was reported to be 2.46%, nearly twice the rate reported for the second quarter. The improvements were broadly spread across ...
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BEA Adjusts Second Quarter GDP Growth Rate Upward
The Bureau of Economic Analysis's (BEA) third estimate of second quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was reported to be 1.34%, an upward adjustment from their previous data. The new growth number was .36% higher than the number reported ...
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BEA Lowers Second Quarter GDP Growth Rate to Below 1%
The Bureau of Economic Analysis's (BEA) second estimate of second quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was reported to be 0.98%, continuing their recent trend of revising previously reported economic growth rates down. The new growth numb...
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Special Update: Daily Growth Index Breaks Positive
On August 3, 2011 our Daily Growth Index went into growth territory for the first time in 566 days -- ending the longest consecutive string of contraction-days that we have ever experienced. Furthermore, the rise off of the record lows set as recen...
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BEA Reports 1Q-2011 and "Great Recession" Far Worse Than We Were Previously Told
Included in the BEA's first ("Advance") estimate of second quarter 2011 GDP were significant downward revisions to previously published data, some of it dating back to 2003. Astonishingly, the BEA even substantially cut their annualized GDP growth ...
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The BEA’s Third (and "Final") Estimate of First Quarter 2011 GDP
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised their estimate of the annualized growth rate of the first quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) up slightly to 1.92%. This is their third and final regularly scheduled estimate of the first qua...
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The BEA’s Second Estimate of First Quarter 2011 GDP
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) kept their estimate of the annualized growth rate of the first quarter 2011 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) essentially unchanged at 1.84%. Although the overall growth rate was essentially unchanged the compo...
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The BEA’s Third Estimate of Fourth Quarter 2010 GDP
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) raised their estimate of the annualized growth rate of the fourth quarter 2010 U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 2.79% to 3.11%, an increase of .32% and some 0.56% higher than their estimate of the third q...
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News and the Consumer, Reflections on Chernobyl and the Economy
During the past week we have again witnessed the extraordinary effect that major news events can have on "real-time" consumer demand for discretionary durable goods. On Monday March 14, 2011 our Weighted Composite Index set a new one-day record low...
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Retail Sales and Credit Expansions
Last week the International Council of Shopping Centers (ICSC) reported that their member retail chains had experienced a 1.7% year-over-year gain for the month of March. Additionally, the Federal Reserve reported that total consumer credit increas...
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