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The Famous Indicators Say Bubble

Recently, I pointed out how corporate earnings have been declining since July 2014, yet the S&P 500 index is up over 50% over the same period.

Screen Shot 2019-07-27 at 9.10.22 PM

This screams bubble to me. But do other bubble indicators scream bubble as well?

The Buffet Indicator, using the flow of funds definition of corporate equity, shows that the stock market is just below the dot.com bubble … and burst.

wtf

Shiller’s CAPE ratio (cyclically adjusted Price/Earnings ratio) is high by historical standards, but not even close to the dot.com bubble highs.

Screen Shot 2019-07-29 at 3.42.51 PM

So, choose your poison.  But all bubble indicators are at least whispering bubble, if not outright screaming it.

theofficemose

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