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“Underlying Inflation” hottest since July 2006 (3.14%) While Core PCE Prices YoY Still Stuck At 1.6%

The New York Fed’s Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG) is the hottest since 2006 at 3.14%.

uiginfl

The FRBNY’s Underlying Inflation Gauge captures sustained movements in inflation from information contained in a broad set of price, real activity, and financial data.

The “prices-only” UIG is only 2.23%. The “prices-only” underlying inflation gauge (UIG) is derived from a large number of disaggregated price series in the consumer price index (CPI) and is closer to core inflation.

pricesonly

Both are higher than Core PCE price YoY which is only 1.6% YoY.

corepceuigcore.png

“Say what?!”

jaypowellsinging

 

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