As the US and China engage in trade fisticuffs (like the Dow opening down 500 points this morning),
the US Treasury yield curve is quite well-behaved … and diving towards recession.
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10-year Treasury Note volatility remains muted compared with The Great Recession.
The bellwether commercial and industrial (business) loan YoY growth is approaching historic recession levels.
The US Dollar Chinese Renmimbi cross has changed course since Trumps election as President.
Will the US trade flow change with the trade fight with China? And a possible cancellation of NAFTA?
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