Silver prices this week are rallying after a dramatic market correction in February. In fact, the precious metal has outperformed the S&P 500 over the last week, and the gains are likely to continue…
While the U.S. dollar weakens in the face of strengthening global currencies, it’s possible that silver could climb dramatically higher in the short term. Increased volatility from unexpected inflation data could force bond yields higher and send silver skyward.
I’ll show you exactly how high it will go, but let’s look at last week’s silver price action first…
The Price of Silver This Week Gains Following Strong Volatility
On Tuesday (Feb. 13), silver began the trading day trading down as the dollar moved sideways on the day. Silver opened around $16.60 and worked lower to $16.45 by 10:00 a.m. Toward the closing bell, silver rallied to finish at $16.55.
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On Wednesday (Feb. 14), silver rose in the morning thanks to stronger-than-expected consumer inflation numbers, with January CPI rising 0.5% rather than the 0.3% consensus forecast.
Silver went from $16.59 at 8:00 a.m. down to $16.45 by 9:00 a.m., then soared to $16.79 at 11:00 a.m. From there, it continued higher, as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) sold off to just below 89. Silver closed at $16.84.
Thursday (Feb. 15) saw renewed volatility and selling, as traders cooled on Wednesday’s gains. Silver opened at $16.82, then dropped into the late morning as the DXY rose to 88.9 by 12:30 p.m. Silver sellers pushed the metal down to $16.63 at 11:00 a.m., but silver bounced back quickly to end flat at $16.82 on the day.
On Friday (Feb. 16), a resurgence in the dollar’s strength took the DXY 88.30 all the way to 89.10 by the close. As you’d expect, the dollar’s rally weighed on silver. The metal opened for NY trading at $16.79, but then began selling off through the day to $16.62 by 5:00 p.m.
You can see the DXY’s rally in the chart below.
Monday (Feb. 19) brought choppy trading that did little to move silver prices. The grey metal opened at $16.66, then moved sideways to an early 1:00 p.m. close at $16.63.
On Tuesday (Feb. 20), silver opened lower still, as the dollar managed to rally. Silver opened at $16.53, moved to $16.63 by mid-morning, then retreated to $16.41 by mid-afternoon.
While the dollar got a second wind on news of lower-than-expected inflation, I don’t expect the greenback to maintain its market momentum.
In fact, I believe that market fundamentals are pointing to a significant rally for silver over the next few weeks. Here’s how high it’s heading…
These Technical Indicators Are Pointing to Higher Silver Prices This Week
I’m looking at two silver price indicators that are showing silver prices will continue to rise.
In the chart below, you can see that the volume of silver futures has steadily increased over the last few years. This indicates that investors are turning increasingly optimistic over the future price direction of silver.
And as I highlighted in my last silver update, one of the best technical indicators to watch right now is also the gold/silver ratio.
Anytime the ratio has risen above 80, it has typically preceded a peak, after which the ratio has dropped back, sometimes dramatically. This kind of setup suggests we could see silver begin catching up to gold in a big way.
You can see the closing gap between gold and silver in the chart below.
Thanks to silver’s most recent pullback, my next target is $17.50, followed by $18, then $18.50.
But given how close these targets are, I think they could be taken out in quick succession, perhaps in just the next few months.
After that, my upper-end target remains $20.50, the high attained in mid-2016 after the silver bull returned with fervor.
As it turns out, I’m not alone in calling for higher silver prices. Director of investment strategy and research at ETF Securities Maxwell Gold recently said his firm sees $19 to $20 silver by late 2018, as renewed global economic growth helps push industrial demand higher and as investors seek inflation hedges.
While silver is set for long-term gains, there’s another investment that can protect your portfolio from the stock market’s volatility…
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