Has The Fed Lost Control? VIX (Stock Vol) Falls Below 10, TYVIX (T-Note Vol) Falls Below 4

This is a syndicated repost courtesy of Confounded Interest – Online Course Notes for Financial Markets. To view original, click here. Reposted with permission.

Are markets out of control due to The Federal Reserve keeping rates so low for so long?

The VIX (Chicago Board Options Exchange SPX Volatility Index) has fallen below 10 and the S&P500 index has soared with massive Federa Reserve stimulus (aka, the punchbowl).

vixfed.png

The TYVIX (CBOE CBOT 10 year U.S. Treasury Note Volatility Index) has fallen below 4 despite Fed rate increases and their lame unwinding of their prodigious balance sheet.

tyvixfed

This bring up the question: Has The Fed lost control of markets? This is important in that it may lead the Fed Open Market Committee (FOMC) to raise rates as a faster pace, as indicated by The Fed’s “Dot Plot.”

feddotplots

Meanwhile, “inflation” remains subdued at 1.5% YoY.

fedinfj.png

We will see if The Fed is speeding up their balance sheet unwind after today at 3pm EST.

Will there be a trigger event that will bring markets crashing back to earth?

Janet Yellen better start drinking a few Tequila Sunrises if that happens.

janet-yellen-382

 

Wall Street Examiner Disclosure:Lee Adler, The Wall Street Examiner reposts third party content with the permission of the publisher. I am a contractor for Money Map Press, publisher of Money Morning, Sure Money, and other information products. I curate posts here on the basis of whether they represent an interesting and logical point of view, that may or may not agree with my own views. Some of the content includes the original publisher's promotional messages. In some cases I receive promotional consideration on a contingent basis, when paid subscriptions result. The opinions expressed in these reposts are not those of the Wall Street Examiner or Lee Adler, unless authored by me, under my byline. No endorsement of third party content is either expressed or implied by posting the content. Do your own due diligence when considering the offerings of information providers.

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.