Have Mortgage Applications Peaked For 2017? Purchase Applications Fall 2.75% WoW (Up 9% YoY), Refi Apps Fall 5.7%

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Mortgage applications decreased 4.1 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending May 12, 2017.

The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 3 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 3 percent compared with the previous week and was 9 percent higher than the same week one year ago.

Typically, applications for a purchase mortgage peak in May (sometimes in April, sometimes in June). So, last week’s mortgage purchase applications print may have been the high water mark for 2017.

The Refinance Index decreased 6 percent from the previous week.  But notice that while mortgage refinancing applications plummeted aroud MayJune rapid the rise in the Freddie Mac 30 year mortgage survey rate (thanks to Fed Chair Bernanke saying that The Fed might end their asset purchase programs), the recent rise in the 30 year mortgage rate has produced decline in refi application.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($424,100 or less) remained unchanged at 4.23 percent, with points increasing to 0.37 from 0.31 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans.

So, we at (or near) the peak for 2017 in terms of mortgage purchase applications. Historically, it will be all down hill until January 2018. But a 9% increase in mortgage purchases applications YoY is pretty impressive!

 

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