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What’s Next for the BHP Stock Price After Its Dam Collapse Trail of Death and Destruction in Brazil

This is a syndicated repost courtesy of Money Morning - We Make Investing Profitable. To view original, click here. Reposted with permission.

The BHP stock price hit a 10-year low Monday after the Brazilian government announced a new lawsuit against the mining company.

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BHP Billiton Ltd. (NYSE ADR: BHP) shares tumbled below $26 per share when the Brazilian government reported it will sue the miner and its Brazilian partner Vale SA (NYSE ADR: VALE) over a deadly dam failure.bhp stock price

On Nov. 5, a mine dam in Brazil jointly owned by the two companies burst and released 50 million metric tons of toxic iron ore waste. The noxious waste caused a trail of harmful material to seep into the Atlantic Ocean.

At least 13 people were killed, six remain missing, hundreds were displaced, and entire villages were destroyed. The collapse is the biggest mining disaster in Brazil’s history, according to authorities.

“The scale of the environmental damage is the equivalent of 20,000 Olympic swimming pools of toxic mud waste contaminating the soil, rivers and water system of an area covering over 850 kilometers,” the UN said in a statement.

The lawsuit is expected to be officially filed on Monday. The suit will reportedly seek damages of roughly 20 billion Brazilian reais (roughly $5.2 billion).

BHP said in a news release it hasn’t been formally notified about the civil suit but “will assess the case once it has been filed.”

On the London exchange, the BHP stock price shed 3.6% Monday to a seven-year low of 778.9 pence a share. Shares in Sydney also ended down 3.6% to a more than 10-year low of 18.09 Australian dollars ($13.01).

The allegations and pending suit are weighing on the global resource company, which has already been plagued by a serious slump in commodity prices…

The BHP Stock Price Could Head Lower

Iron ore prices fell to $42.80 a metric ton on Monday, its lowest price in more than a decade.

That’s down a whopping 78% from its 2011 peak of $191.90 a ton, according to data provider The Steel Index. Some 98% of the earth’s iron ore is used to make steel, which accounts for over 90% of all metals used in the world.

Iron ore is also a crucial segment for BHP.

The dam disaster and the collapse in commodity prices have left investors anxious about BHP’s attractive dividend payout.

BHP Billiton has a progressive dividend policy. The aim is to steadily increase or at least maintain the dividend per share in U.S. dollar terms at each financial half-year. With a 1.24% yield, BHP’s dividend is among the highest in its industry.

Amid shareholder anxiety, BHP Chairman Jacques Nasser told investors last week the miner won’t alter its dividend policy until February at the earliest.

Still, some analysts are cautious about the dividend and the BHP stock price.

“Given the risk of ongoing commodity price volatility, we believe it would be prudent for the company to rebase its [progressive] dividend,” Investec Securities said in a note.

JPMorgan, meanwhile, reduced its rating on BHP to “Underweight” from “Neutral.”

The BHP stock price tumbled to a 52-week low of $25.91 in New York trading Monday.

At $26.46, the BHP stock price is down 41% year to date. A dividend cut and further downgrades will unquestionably send the BHP stock price even lower as we head into 2016.

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The post What’s Next for the BHP Stock Price After Today’s 5% Drop appeared first on Money Morning – We Make Investing Profitable.

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