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Source: http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/Publications/Files/Key_Findings_WPP_2015.pdf.
Of all major regions around the world: only three are likely to post negative population growth. These are:
- Europe – posting the most disastrous, by a mile, demographic prospect of all regions;
- Followed by Asia, where cumulated population decline will be less severe (through 2100) than in Europe; and
- Finally, by Latin America.
- EU
- Former USSR excluding currently in the EU
- One hears quite frequently media comments about the disastrous situation with Russian demographics. Except: Russian Federation is not in 30 countries with worst population growth performance over 1950-2015 period, while its counterparts in the USSR – Ukraine, Georgia and Belarus are. Russia will be ranked 19th worst performing (demographically) country in 2015-2030 and 2015-2050 period. But compare this to Ukraine (to be ranked 4th in 2015-2030 period and 3rd in 2015-2050 period); Republic of Moldova (expected to rank 11th in 2015-2030 period and 4th in 2015-2050 period); Belarus (forecast to rank 12th in both periods); Georgia (ranked 20th in 2015-2030 period forecasts – better than Russia, but 15th in 2015-2050 forecast – worse than Russia). I have not heard much of ‘disastrous policies’ assessments in the media concerning their demographic collapse predictions.
- Another interesting aspect of the table is the exceptionally poor forecasted performance in demographics for the Eastern European states members of the EU.
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