The markets now have the benefit of Treasury paydowns boosting dealer and investor cash levels till the end of May. Recent indications suggest that the cash windfall may be even bigger than initially forecast. Here’s what that could mean for the markets.
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It seems to me that you’ve argued before, as is again reflected here, that it’s simply liquidity that drives the market. But
with the S & P poised just below your 2105 breakout line, and S & P earnings due shortly, what of the thought that it’s
earnings and expressed outlooks that determine the direction of stock prices? Might that not “rule the day” regardless
of liquidity trends?
Thanks in advance for your reply.
Michael Solkow