Full time jobs jump most in 6 years. Total jobs gain most in 4 years.

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Employment Chart Page now fully updatedThe post below was posted prior to the complete update. Please bookmark the permanent chart page for future reference.

I have done some preliminary analysis of the jobs data. Seasonal adjustments and focus on total rather than full time jobs are screwing the pooch. June gain of 1.39 million full time jobs (actual NSA) was best since June 2006 and was virtually the same as the previous 10 years average of 1.382 million. Far better than last 3 years from 2009 931,000, 2010 1.05 million, 2011 627,000.

All this crying and gnashing of teeth is bullshit. Huge numbers moved from part time work to full time. Full time jobs were up 2.4% year over year, which is a clear acceleration from May, which had a gain of 1.8%. Total jobs were up 2.2% year to year, versus just 1.9% in May.

Total jobs rose just 475k. But that was still better than last year’s 101k, 2010 385k, and 2009’s 463k.

Full Time Employment Short Term View - Click to enlarge

Full Time Employment Short Term View – Click to enlarge

Media and mainstream conomist reactions are as usual are grossly overdone, and show no real understanding of the data (Floyd Norris who wrote a piece in the Times explaining the issue this morning excepted).


Lee Adler

I’ve been publishing The Wall Street Examiner and its predecessor since October 2000. I also provide analysis and charts for David Stockman's Contra Corner which I developed for Mr. Stockman. I’ve had a wide variety of finance related jobs in the past 44 years, including a stint on Wall Street in both analytical and sales capacities. Prior to starting the Wall Street Examiner I worked as a commercial real estate appraiser in Florida for 15 years. I also worked in the residential mortgage and real estate businesses in parts of the 1970s and 80s. I have been charting stocks and markets and doing analytical work since I was a teenager. My perspective is not of the Ivory Tower. It is from having my boots on the ground and in the trenches of the industries that I analyze and write about today.