Archive for April, 2009

The minor downtick on Thursday changed nothing. I picked another ETF chart coming out of a pretty nice base to add to the chart pick list. It may go nowhere, as might the one already on the list, but it’s in a classic bullish pattern that’s hard to ignore. Click here to...
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The Treasury finished off a busy week with a 70 day CMB auction that showed no sign of weakening in indirect bidding. That was true for the week as a whole. If the FCBs are backing off, that didn’t show up in this data. Perhaps they did some selling in the secondary market, which...
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How funny to come across a similar view.The late twentieth century was the heyday of deductive economics. Talented and facile theorists set the intellectual agenda. Their very facility enabled them to build models with virtually any implication, which meant that policy makers could pick and choose at their convenience. Theory turned out to be...
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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The market continued its sloppy uptrend on Wednesday, as short term cycles appeared to get in gear to the upside along with the 6 month cycle. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you...
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Lee Adler and Aaron Krowne discuss the latest financial news and the impact on the markets of Fed policy versus Treasury supply. Subscribers only. Enter your login when prompted. Not a subscriber? Click here to listen to a free extended preview. To subscribe and hear this podcast right now, click here! Free sample podcast. Hear the 7/29/08...
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Hell is full of good intentions or desires. Saint Bernard of ClairvauxIn a recent post at The Baseline Scenario, a blog by Simon Johnson I find most interesting- gotta love financial blogs that reference Baudrillard, I came across the following:I don’t know Tim Geithner. But I have no reason to believe he is corrupt....
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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It’s hard to say much about a market that barely moved. The minor weakness didn’t break any support levels of note and most indicators stayed within the same patterns they’ve been in. There are more signs of a 13 week cycle rollover, but no sign yet whether that will translate into a meaningful price...
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The Treasury held a 4 week bill auction and a 5 year note auction. Demand was strong at both, with a strong indirect bid. There’s no sign yet of a buyers’ strike by FCBs. The Fed stayed out of the market today. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional...
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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The market pulled back but it did not break any key trendlines or support levels. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full...
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The Treasury calendar for this week ballooned with the announcement of $20 billion in 4 week bills and $35 billion in CMBs which was not on the tentative schedule or in the TBAC forecast. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free...
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There are increasing signs that even some old bears are capitulating to the bull side. Right even a Swine Flu scare doesn’t seem to be spooking the market. One reader here commented, asking if reflation works “just like that”. Very legit question, and I think the answer is that this reflation will bring on...
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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This is not an investment advice, I’m not good at that, but rather an invitation for discussion. The pullback is due. The daytraders who watch the tape all the day know what to do. But what we should do, ordinary investors who check the charts after work, when the market is closed? The popular leveraged...
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The market’s uptick on Friday carried with it strong suggestions of an upturn in a key short term cycle. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will...
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The Fed closed out another week of pumping with a direct purchase of $3.65 billion in GSE paper, bringing the total bought on the week to nearly $44 billion of Treasuries, GSE debt and MBS. $18 billion of that was the higher powered buying of Treasuries and GSEs direct from Primary Dealers. With the...
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One of the leading sectors of this rally have been the retail and consumer discretionary sectors. In part this has been an earnings expectation game with many of these companies able to beat a low set high jump bar.  I have also been writing about the commodity rebate, and how disinflation, or what some...
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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One of the leading sectors of this rally have been the retail and consumer discretionary sectors. In part this has been an earnings expectation game with many of these companies able to beat a low set high jump bar.  I have also been writing about the commodity rebate, and how disinflation, or what some...
Read more »

Tomorrow the criteria of the stress test will be disclosed. What should we expect?I simply want to see some logic. So, why the stress test was initiated to begin with? If we were a banana republic I would say the stress test is needed to demonstrate foreign investors that everything is perfect. So everybody would...
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In spite of the rally, a couple of intermediate indicators edged to the sell side. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full...
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On the Treasury front, this week’s paydowns were only $13 billion, but next week the Treasury will swing to a huge negative influence as it dumps mass quantities of new supplies of 3, 5 and 7 year notes on the market. Depending on the size of the 4 week bill auction and whether or...
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New podcast is available. I discuss my street level visit in downtown Miami and Miami Beach. In the intro section I discuss my thoughts on the stress tests.Two years ago I wrote a blog here predicting a Miami bust.  I have returned to the scene for another examination.    Also since I am a quasi-Latino...
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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Creeping signs of an overdue 13 week cycle turn continue. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. ...
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Lee Adler, Aaron Krowne, and Russ Winter discuss Tim Geithner’s market impact, the problems with the TARP, and possible bank nationalization,along with the outlook for the market. Russ talks about his experience scoping out the Miami real estate market on a visit this week. Subscribers only. Enter your login when prompted. Not a subscriber? Click...
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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Watching Secretary Tim “Stonewall” Geithner shuck, jive, and obfuscate before the Congressional Oversight Panel was sickening and disgusting to anyone who has a clue of what’s going on, but old “TurboTax made me do it” obviously impressed investors, who in the main continue to be clueless. Geithner even smirked that he had never worked...
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