Archive for March, 2007

The mid day dip on Friday came right down to support lines and stopped on a dime. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full...
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In late January, I posted two articles regarding my long term view on the gold market. A symmetrical triangle pattern was identified and its likely subsequent price action described. At that time, I recommended a low-risk pattern entry for those making their first purchase of bullion or adding to existing gold investments. ...
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The Fed’s move today seemed draconian, as FCBs go into their cutback phase. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple....
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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There are a series of follow up stories out that tie the ends together on the themes I’m tracking. The themes and concepts are also laid out for new readers and for those who desire a refresher. First comes a Bloomberg story on state revenues that adds more color on the post I wrote Tuesday....
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It’s the end of the quarter but as Yogi said, it ain’t over till it’s over. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full...
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Second-tier steel producers are all getting the LBO/M&A goose. IPS is up 32% in the past two weeks alone, thanks to all the debt-financed dealmaking going on in the sector. Click to enlarge I don’t know about a depression dead ahead, but this is exactly the sort of action you see prior to important inflection...
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The Fed added a net of just $500 million into the market on Thursday, issuing $8 billion in overnight repos and $10 billion in 14 day repos against $17.5 billion in expirations.Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days....
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This just in from Gloomberg- *STERN AGREES WITH BERNANKE ASSESSMENT ON INFLATION BIAS *STERN SAYS `THE BULK’ OF HOME CONSTRUCTION DOWNTURN IS PAST *STERN: SUBPRIME PROBLEMS UNLIKELY TO HAVE BIG OVERALL EFFECT *STERN SAYS GROWTH CAN BE SUSTAINED IN `FACE OF DISRUPTIONS’ *FED’S STERN SAYS U.S. ECONOMY IS `RESILIENT AND FLEXIBLE’ *MORE
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The XNG (Natural Gas Index) made a new all time today. It just keeps creeping higher, although at a very slow pace over the past 18 months–only up 9% since the spike high in the price of NATGAS at $15.52 back in late 2005. Is it painting a high-level consolidation/range for the past 18 months?...
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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The market’s minor swoon is beginning to raise yellow caution flags on intermediate indicators. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s...
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The Fed pumped $2.5 billion into the market on Wednesday, issuing $11.5 billion in overnight repos against $9 billion in expirations, as Benny went up to the Hill for Congressional testimony. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within...
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Jimmy Crack Crammer’s video about how he manipulated markets when he ran a hedge fund has generated a big brouhaha out in the message board and infomercial media world in recent weeks. It’s just all so scandalous and scurrilous! Hedge funds actually manipulate the public! I am shocked, SHOCKED!
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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Moral Hazard: In economics and ethical theory, the term moral hazard may be used for any situation where a person or organization does not bear the full adverse consequences of its actions. Another disturbing trend is now evolving from of the mortgage mess. I can only call it “Save the Sheeple” moral hazard movement. It’s...
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The market’s stall took a negative turn on Tuesday, consistent with signs of tops in the shortest cycles. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers).  Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a...
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The Fed essentially stood still on Tuesday, issuing $9 billion in overnight repos against $8.75 billion in expirations. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a...
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Has a recession already started in the US? Russ Winter has made some recent posts in his blog showing evidence to the effect that it has. I have my doubts, but it’s a mostly matter of timing, and also relevance.
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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Of all the main stream media (MSM), the New York Times is just about alone at having an understanding of the Brazilification of America, and what the fallout might look like. This weekend they wrote a classic article discussing the tax receipt mix of the states. Because of copyright laws I am not going...
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The market had a little shakeout in the morning on newsnoise but came right back in the afternoon. Once again we saw a case where economists were supposedly surprised by the weak new home sales report out of the Commerce Department, when the truth is that anyone with half a brain who had been...
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The charts show the status of 22 large cap bellwether stocks in a representative sampling of leading industry groups. The charts include 13-week cycle centered moving average projections. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you...
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The Fed added a net of $3 billion to the market on Monday, with an unusual 8 day repo for $9.5 billion against expirations of $6.5 billion. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you...
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Dataquick Information Systems, a real estate data service that reports on many major markets around the US announced Friday that it is rejiggering its methodology for calculating statewide median prices.
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Latest cycle conditions and projections for the US Dollar Index and 10 Year Treasury Yield. Click links to download report in pdf format. (WSE Pro subscribers only). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full...
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Today’s gold stock screens and data, along with cycle conditions and projections for gold and HUI index, and Chart of the Day picks for swing trades. Indispensable daily information for gold and precious metals stocks traders. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for...
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Earlier I wrote a rebuttal to Tony Crescenzi’s dissing of the credit crunch theory. The H8 data for the week of March 14 lends support to the notion (also supported by Shoppertrak, steel production and rail loadings) that an economic and credit contraction is getting underway and in earnest. First it is important to note...
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Hello from Nara, Japan (in the Kyoto-Osaka vicinity). For all those who are wondering, I did narrowly miss the Tokyo quake (not that it was particularly dangerous). I was just skimming some blogs I’ve missed, and found this surprising post from Econbrowser writer James Hamilton, attempting a dismissal of the “housing bubble”...
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The SPX fell 6.8% from the late February top. It has now recovered most of that decline. Is this rally of the dead-cat persuasion with new lows to follow? Or will the market soon go to higher highs and, if so, how high? For clues, one of the patterns I’m watching is on the Wilshire...
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